United States Q1 GDP Shrinks More
Analysis based on 9 articles · First reported Jun 26, 2025 · Last updated Jun 26, 2025
The unexpected downgrade of the United States's Q1 GDP contraction to 0.5% signals a significant slowdown, primarily due to President Donald Trump's trade policies. This could lead to increased market volatility and investor caution regarding the United States economy, despite economists expecting a rebound in Q2.
The United States economy contracted at a 0.5% annual pace from January through March 2025, a significant downgrade from earlier estimates. This contraction, the first in three years, was primarily driven by a surge in imports (up 37.9%) as companies rushed to acquire foreign goods before President Donald Trump's tariffs could be imposed. Additionally, consumer spending slowed sharply to 0.5%, and federal government spending fell by 4.6%. Economists attribute these developments to the uncertainty created by President Donald Trump's trade wars. The Conference Board also reported a decline in consumer confidence in June, further indicating economic jitters. Despite the troubling Q1 performance, forecasters from FactSet anticipate a rebound to 3% growth in the second quarter.
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