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International geopolitical conflict

Russia to keep forces in Donbas

Analysis based on 7 articles · First reported Dec 12, 2025 · Last updated Dec 12, 2025

Sentiment
-70
Attention
8
Articles
7
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with Russia's firm stance on retaining occupied territories and Ukraine's refusal to surrender land, creates significant geopolitical instability. This uncertainty negatively impacts global markets, particularly in energy and defense sectors, and could lead to further sanctions and disruptions in international trade. The direct military actions, such as drone strikes and counterattacks, highlight the continued human and economic cost of the war.

Defense Energy Government

A senior Russia — Kremlin official stated that Russian police and National Guard will remain in eastern Ukraine's Donbas region, even if a peace settlement ends the nearly four-year war. This position is likely to be rejected by Ukrainian officials, as U.S.-led negotiations continue. Russia demands Ukraine's forces withdraw from the front line before a ceasefire. The conflict has seen Russia illegally annex Russia — Crimea in 2014 and Ukraine — Donetsk, Ukraine — Luhansk, and two other regions in 2022, claiming them as Russian Federation territory. Ukraine maintains its constitution does not allow it to surrender land. U.S. President Donald Trump is pushing for a swift end to the war. On the battlefield, Ukrainian forces have recaptured several settlements near Ukraine — Kupiansk in the Kharkiv region. Ukraine's Special Operations Forces also struck two Russian vessels, Sergei Rachmaninoff and Askar-Saridzha, in the Caspian Sea, which are under U.S. sanctions for transporting arms to Iran. Cross-border drone attacks have also occurred, with Ukraine striking Russia — Tver in Russia, and Russia striking Ukraine — Pavlohrad and Odesa in Ukraine, causing casualties and damaging energy infrastructure.

loc
Ukraine — Luhansk is another region illegally annexed by Russia in 2022, forming part of the Donbas region, which Russia seeks to fully control.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment -60.0
loc
Ukraine — Donetsk is one of the regions illegally annexed by Russia in 2022, and along with Ukraine — Luhansk, forms the Donbas region, which is a central point of contention in the conflict.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment -60.0
loc
Ukraine — Kupiansk is a city in the Kharkiv region where Ukrainian forces have recaptured settlements, indicating successful counterattacks against Russian advances.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment -40.0
govactor
Ukraine's Special Operations Forces (SSO) conducted a strike on Russian vessels in the Caspian Sea, demonstrating Ukraine's long-range strike capabilities.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 20.0
loc
Russia — Crimea was illegally annexed by Russia in 2014, setting a precedent for Russia's territorial claims and complicating peace negotiations.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment -50.0
mil
The Khartia Corps of Ukraine's National Guard reported on the recapture of villages and districts near Ukraine — Kupiansk, highlighting Ukrainian military successes.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 20.0
govactor
Russia's Defense Ministry reported on the destruction of Ukrainian drones, indicating its role in managing air defenses.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment -20.0
per
Sergei Rachmaninoff is a Russian vessel struck by Ukrainian forces, which is under U.S. sanctions for transporting arms.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment -30.0
oth
Askar-Saridzha is a Russian vessel struck by Ukrainian forces, which is under U.S. sanctions for transporting arms.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment -30.0
loc
Russia — Tver is a Russian city that experienced a Ukrainian drone attack, resulting in casualties and damage, highlighting the cross-border nature of the conflict.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment -30.0
loc
Ukraine — Pavlohrad, in Ukraine's Dnipropetrovsk region, was struck by Russian drones, causing casualties and damage.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment -40.0
loc
The Caspian Sea was the location of a Ukrainian strike on Russian vessels, indicating an expansion of the conflict's operational area.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Vitaly Korolev, acting Governor of Russia — Tver, reported on the Ukrainian drone attack in the city.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment -10.0
per
Vladyslav Haivanenko, head of the local military administration in Ukraine — Pavlohrad, reported on the Russian drone strike.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment -10.0
per
Roman Andarak, Deputy Energy Minister of Ukraine, reported on the number of people without electricity due to the drone attack.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment -10.0
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