India GST Cuts Reduce CPI Inflation
Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Dec 13, 2025 · Last updated Dec 13, 2025
The report from State Bank of India Research indicates a positive impact on India's retail inflation due to GST reforms, which could provide some relief to households. However, the depreciation of the India — Indian rupee is expected to exert upward pressure on inflation, potentially limiting the overall positive effect.
SBI Research released a report detailing the impact of Goods and Services Tax (GST) rate rationalization on India's retail inflation. The report estimates that GST reforms have reduced the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation by 25 basis points (bps) between September and November 2025, with a total projected reduction of 35 bps in 2025-26. This positive impact is partially offset by the depreciation of the India — Indian rupee, which is expected to increase overall inflation. Despite these projections, the State Bank of India is not anticipated to alter its interest rate stance in the upcoming February monetary policy review. The report also highlighted regional variations, noting India — Kerala's higher inflation rate driven by specific commodity prices.
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