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International budget approval

Japan Approves Record Defense Budget

Analysis based on 19 articles · First reported Dec 26, 2025 · Last updated Dec 27, 2025

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The approval of Japan's record defense budget, driven by rising tensions with China and pressure from the United States, is expected to significantly boost the defense industry, particularly for companies like Mitsubishi Heavy Industries involved in joint development and arms sales. However, the increased spending, funded by tax hikes, could put a strain on Japan's economy and potentially impact consumer spending and corporate profits.

Defense Aerospace Government

Japan's Cabinet approved a record defense budget exceeding 9 trillion yen ($58 billion) for fiscal 2026, marking a 9.4% increase from 2025. This is part of a five-year program to double annual arms spending to 2% of GDP, a target Japan aims to meet by March, two years earlier than planned, partly due to pressure from the United States. The budget focuses on fortifying Japan's strike-back capability and coastal defense with cruise missiles and unmanned arsenals. This move comes amid heightened tensions with China, which Japan's current security strategy identifies as its biggest strategic challenge. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks in November about potential military involvement if China takes action against Taiwan further escalated the disagreement. The budget allocates significant funds for 'standoff' missile capabilities, including Type-12 surface-to-ship missiles, and for deploying unmanned drones for surveillance and defense. Japan also plans joint development of a next-generation fighter jet with the United Kingdom and Italy, and aims to strengthen its domestic defense industry, as evidenced by Australia's selection of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries for a frigate upgrade. The increased military spending will be funded by raising corporate and tobacco taxes, with an income tax increase planned for 2027.

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Takahide Kiuchi, an executive economist at Nomura Research Institute, provided analysis on the potential impact of Japan's budget on the bond market.
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Nomura Research Institute's executive economist, Takahide Kiuchi, offered insights into the Japanese bond market's reaction to the budget.
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Shinjirō Koizumi, Japan's Defense Minister, stated that the budget is necessary to fulfill defense responsibilities given the severe security environment.
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