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International trade disruption

India's Russian Crude Imports Decline

Analysis based on 9 articles · First reported Dec 30, 2025 · Last updated Dec 31, 2025

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The US sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil caused a temporary disruption in India's crude oil imports from Russia, leading to a decline in December volumes. This shift is expected to increase demand for crude from alternative suppliers and reroute Russian crude through new intermediaries, potentially affecting shipping and refining sectors.

Oil and Gas Shipping Refining

India's crude oil imports from Russia significantly declined in December 2025, reaching a three-year low, following US sanctions imposed on major Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil. Indian refiners, including Reliance Industries and Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited, scaled back direct purchases from these sanctioned entities. While the decline is seen as a near-term adjustment, analysts from Kpler expect Russian crude flows to India to gradually recover from January as new intermediaries and logistical workarounds emerge. India, a major buyer of discounted Russian crude since the 2022 Ukraine invasion, is expected to continue importing Russian oil through indirect and less transparent channels, maintaining Russia's structural presence in its energy basket. Indian Oil Corporation has also committed to complying with sanctions and is seeking alternative supplies from the Americas.

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Tatneft is an alternative seller expected to expand its trading footprint and take over the commercial role previously played by sanctioned entities.
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Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited competitor Nayara Energy Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited competes directly with Nayara Energy in the Indian downstream oil and gas
Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited supplier Indian Oil Corporation Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited supplies refined petroleum products to Indian Oil Corporation, relying on
Nayara Energy related Rosneft
Nayara Energy related Russia
Sumit Ritolia related Kpler
Sumit Ritolia related Russia
Lukoil competitor Rosneft Lukoil operates as a primary private-sector competitor to the state-backed Rosneft within the Russian and global energy
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