This event is archived. Final snapshot from when the story concluded. View on Dashboard
Business demand forecast

S&P Global Copper Demand Forecast

Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Jan 08, 2026 · Last updated Jan 08, 2026

Sentiment
40
Attention
6
Articles
6
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard

The market for Copper is expected to tighten significantly, with prices potentially rising due to a projected 50% increase in demand by 2040, driven by Artificial intelligence and defense sectors. This could lead to a supply shortfall of over 10 million metric tonnes annually, impacting industries reliant on Copper.

Mining Technology Defense

WSP Global released a report forecasting a 50% surge in global Copper demand by 2040, reaching 42 million metric tonnes annually, up from 28 million in 2025. This increase is primarily driven by the rapid expansion of Artificial intelligence infrastructure, defense spending, and robotics. The report, co-authored by Daniel Yergin and featuring insights from Carlos Pascual and Aurian De La Noue, highlights that without significant increases in mining and recycling, a supply shortfall of over 10 million metric tonnes per year is anticipated. Countries like Japan and Germany increasing defense spending, and the conflict in Ukraine, are also contributing factors. The United States, a major importer, has imposed tariffs on some Copper products. The study was financed by major mining companies like BHP and Rio Tinto (corporation), as well as traders Trafigura and Gunvor Group, and Alphabet Inc..

cmdt
Copper is the central commodity of this event, with its demand projected to rise significantly due to new technologies and defense spending, leading to a potential supply deficit.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment 60.0
stock
WSP Global published a report forecasting a significant increase in copper demand driven by AI, defense, and robotics, highlighting a potential supply shortfall.
Importance 90.0 Sentiment 20.0
per
Daniel Yergin, Vice Chairman of WSP Global and co-author of the report, provided insights on the electrification trend driving Copper demand.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 10.0
per
Carlos Pascual, an WSP Global Vice President and former US ambassador to Ukraine, commented on the inelastic demand for Copper in the defense sector.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 10.0
per
Aurian De La Noue, head of energy transition and critical metals consulting at WSP Global, highlighted that AI and data centers were not on the radar three years ago.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 10.0
cnt
Peru is noted as one of the largest Copper miners globally.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
Chile is noted as one of the largest Copper miners globally.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
Trafigura is mentioned as a financier of the WSP Global study.
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 10.0
priv
Gunvor Group is mentioned as a financier of the WSP Global study.
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 10.0
stock
BHP is mentioned as a financier of the WSP Global study.
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 10.0
stock
Rio Tinto (corporation) is mentioned as a financier of the WSP Global study.
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 10.0
cnt
Importance 0.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
Importance 0.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
Importance 0.0 Sentiment 0.0
stock
Importance 0.0 Sentiment 0.0
+ 2 more entities View on Dashboard
Copper related Peru
Copper related Chile
Peru related Chile
ERGEN INTELLIGENCE
Track this event live

Set up alerts, explore entity relationships, search across thousands of events, and build custom intelligence feeds.

Open Dashboard

About Ergen

Ergen is a news intelligence platform that converts raw news articles into structured data. It tracks events, entities, and the relationships between them, with sentiment and attention metrics derived from thousands of articles. Pages on this site are daily static snapshots from the platform's live database. For real-time tracking, search, and alerts, the full dashboard is at app.ergen.ai.