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Domestic economic forecast

World Bank Projects Nigeria's Economic Growth

Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Jan 14, 2026 · Last updated Jan 15, 2026

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General
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The World Bank Group's optimistic forecast for Nigeria's economy, driven by reforms and non-oil sectors, is expected to improve investor confidence and potentially attract foreign direct investment into Nigeria. This positive outlook could lead to increased stability and growth in the Nigerian market, particularly in the services and agricultural sectors.

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The World Bank Group released its Global Economic Prospects report in January 2026, projecting that Nigeria's economy will grow by 4.4% in both 2026 and 2027. This forecast represents the fastest pace of expansion for Nigeria in over a decade, with the 2026 projection being an upward revision from 3.7% in June 2025. The anticipated growth is attributed to sustained expansion in the services sector, a rebound in agricultural production, and a modest pickup in non-oil industrial activity. The World Bank Group highlighted the role of ongoing economic reforms, particularly in the tax system, and prudent monetary policy in supporting growth, strengthening macroeconomic stability, improving investor sentiment, and reducing inflation. Higher oil output is also expected to offset weaker international oil prices, boosting fiscal revenues and improving Nigeria's external balance. The report underscores Nigeria's diversification efforts to reduce reliance on crude oil exports, with a stronger non-oil sector expected to support job creation, price stability, and government revenue.

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