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International trade negotiations

India-US-Russia Oil Trade Dispute

Analysis based on 20 articles · First reported Feb 04, 2026 · Last updated Feb 05, 2026

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The market is impacted by the uncertainty surrounding India's future oil import strategy, particularly regarding its purchases from Russia and potential shifts to the United States and Venezuela. This could influence global oil prices and the trade relationships between India, Russia, and the United States.

Oil and Gas International Trade

The event centers on claims by Donald Trump that India, led by Narendra Modi, agreed to stop buying Russian oil and instead purchase crude from the United States and potentially Venezuela, as part of a new trade deal. This claim was made after Trump imposed tariffs on India, including levies for Russian energy purchases, which he later stated would be reduced. Russia, through Dmitry Peskov and Maria Zakharova, has consistently denied receiving any official communication from India about halting oil purchases, asserting that India is free to diversify its energy suppliers. Experts like Igor Yushkov highlight the logistical and economic challenges for India to fully substitute Russian crude with US shale oil. India's Commerce Secretary, Piyush Goyal, has emphasized diversifying energy sources. The situation creates uncertainty in international energy markets and highlights the geopolitical pressures on India's energy policy.

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Igor Yushkov, an expert at the National Energy Security Fund, provides analysis on the feasibility and implications of India halting Russian oil imports, highlighting the differences in crude grades and supply volumes.
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