Indian IT Sector Muted Growth Forecast
Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Apr 02, 2026 · Last updated Apr 02, 2026
The report from Nuvama Institutional Equities indicates a mixed outlook for the Indian IT sector, with muted overall growth but outperformance by Tier-2 companies. The depreciation of the India — Indian rupee is expected to provide some margin support, while geopolitical tensions and AI anxiety contribute to near-term volatility for companies like Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, and HCLTech.
Nuvama Institutional Equities has released a report forecasting muted growth for the Indian Information Technology sector in the March quarter. This subdued performance is attributed to ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia, the anxiety surrounding generative AI, and potential US tariffs. While Tier-1 companies like Infosys and HCLTech are expected to see declines due to seasonal factors, Tier-2 firms such as Persistent Systems, Mphasis, Coforge, and LTIMindtree are projected to outperform. Despite global trade disruptions, margins for Indian IT companies are expected to remain intact, largely supported by a nearly 5% depreciation of the India — Indian rupee since the onset of the Gulf War. Nuvama Institutional Equities maintains a 'buy' rating on the top ten IT services companies, anticipating long-term performance despite near-term volatility.
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