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Business earnings forecast

Indian IT Sector Muted Growth Forecast

Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Apr 02, 2026 · Last updated Apr 02, 2026

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The report from Nuvama Institutional Equities indicates a mixed outlook for the Indian IT sector, with muted overall growth but outperformance by Tier-2 companies. The depreciation of the India — Indian rupee is expected to provide some margin support, while geopolitical tensions and AI anxiety contribute to near-term volatility for companies like Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, and HCLTech.

Information technology Financial services

Nuvama Institutional Equities has released a report forecasting muted growth for the Indian Information Technology sector in the March quarter. This subdued performance is attributed to ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia, the anxiety surrounding generative AI, and potential US tariffs. While Tier-1 companies like Infosys and HCLTech are expected to see declines due to seasonal factors, Tier-2 firms such as Persistent Systems, Mphasis, Coforge, and LTIMindtree are projected to outperform. Despite global trade disruptions, margins for Indian IT companies are expected to remain intact, largely supported by a nearly 5% depreciation of the India — Indian rupee since the onset of the Gulf War. Nuvama Institutional Equities maintains a 'buy' rating on the top ten IT services companies, anticipating long-term performance despite near-term volatility.

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Wipro is projected to report 0.5% QoQ growth in constant currency, as per Nuvama Institutional Equities' forecast.
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Mahindra & Mahindra is expected to show 0% QoQ growth in constant currency, according to the Nuvama Institutional Equities report.
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Coforge is projected to be a leading Tier-2 company, with expected growth of 1.5% in constant currency terms.
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LTIMindtree is expected to lead the outperformance among Tier-2 companies, growing 1.5% in constant currency terms.
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Wipro related HCLTech
Wipro related Infosys
HCLTech related Infosys
Infosys competitor Tata Consultancy Services Infosys is a leading Indian multinational IT company that competes directly with Tata Consultancy Services for global en
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