US, Israel, Iran Frozen Conflict

The conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran is likely heading towards a 'frozen conflict' scenario, characterized by an unresolved war continuing at a low level below full-scale combat. This is attributed to US President Donald Trump's foreign policy approach of equating ceasefires with an end to war, the asymmetric nature of the conflict where Iran uses tactics like targeting infrastructure and closing the Strait of Hormuz, and a lack of focus on complex underlying issues such as Iran's nuclear program. Peace talks in Pakistan have stalled due to Iran's refusal to compromise on its nuclear rights. This situation is compared to other frozen conflicts like those in Ukraine, the Koreas, and between India and Pakistan, which have led to long-term instability, arms races, and periodic violence. The potential for continued threats over Iran's nuclear program and flare-ups of violence, especially concerning the Strait of Hormuz, poses significant risks to regional and global stability.