Iran's Power Shifts to IRGC
Analysis based on 14 articles · First reported Apr 28, 2026 · Last updated Apr 28, 2026
The shift in Iran's power structure towards the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and a harder-line stance could lead to increased geopolitical instability, impacting oil prices due to potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. This also complicates ongoing peace talks with the United States, potentially prolonging economic sanctions and affecting global trade.
Following the killing of Ali Khamenei and the injury of his son Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran has experienced a significant power shift. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has consolidated power, dominating military strategy and key political decisions. Mojtaba Khamenei now serves largely to legitimize IRGC decisions rather than issue directives. This shift has hardened Iran's stance in peace talks with the United States, particularly regarding the nuclear issue and Gulf shipping disputes. The IRGC's growing dominance signals a more aggressive foreign policy and tighter domestic repression, prioritizing rigid centralized control and resistance to Western pressure. This reordering of power from clerical primacy to security dominance is seen as a decisive change in how Iran is governed.
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