WMO forecasts record global temperatures
Analysis based on 12 articles · First reported May 28, 2026 · Last updated May 28, 2026
The forecast of continued record-high global temperatures and increased frequency of El Niño conditions could negatively impact industries sensitive to climate change, such as agriculture, insurance, and energy. Companies in these sectors may face higher operational costs, increased claims, or disruptions to supply chains, potentially affecting their stock performance. The clarity on the Paris Agreement>>>'s long-term goals might influence investment in green technologies.
The World Meteorological Organization>>> (WMO), with a report produced by the UK's United Kingdom — Met Office>>>, has released its Global Annual-to-Decadal Update, forecasting global average temperatures to remain at or near record levels for the next five years (2026-2030). The report, co-authored by Leon Hermanson>>>, indicates an 86% chance that one year between 2026 and 2030 will surpass 2024 as the warmest on record. There is a 91% probability that global mean near-surface temperatures will temporarily exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for at least one year in this period, with a 75% chance that the five-year mean will also exceed this threshold. The report clarifies that these temporary breaches do not mean the long-term goals of the Paris Agreement>>> are out of reach. It also predicts a tendency towards El Niño conditions, particularly in 2027 and 2028, which could lead to further record-breaking heat.
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