Global Smartphone Market Contracts 13.9%
Analysis based on 10 articles · First reported Jun 01, 2026 · Last updated Jun 01, 2026
The global smartphone market is facing its steepest annual contraction on record, with shipments projected to slump by 13.9% due to a worsening memory chip shortage exacerbated by the Iran war. This will negatively impact companies like Transsion, Xiaomi, and ERC with significant shipment declines, while Apple Inc. and Samsung Electronics are expected to be more resilient.
The global smartphone market is projected to experience its steepest annual contraction on record, with shipments expected to slump by 13.9% to 1.08 billion units this year, according to Counterpoint Research. This downgrade from an earlier forecast is attributed to a worsening shortage of memory chips, exacerbated by the Iran war. The impact is most severe in lower-end smartphones, as chipmakers prioritize AI-related chips, making budget devices less economical to produce. Global smartphone wholesale prices rose 14% in Q1, while shipments fell 3.1%. Companies like Transsion, Xiaomi, and ERC are forecast to see significant declines in shipments (32%, 28%, and 16-20% respectively). In contrast, the premium segment has shown resilience, with Apple Inc. posting record revenue and Samsung Electronics maintaining steady volumes, both benefiting from more stable chip supply and stronger margins.
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