WMO Forecasts Strong El Nino
Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Jun 03, 2026 · Last updated Jun 04, 2026
The forecast of a strong El Niño–Southern Oscillation>>> event is expected to significantly impact global commodity markets, particularly for agricultural products like Wheat>>>, Rice>>>, and Cocoa bean>>>. Increased droughts and extreme weather in key producing regions, especially in Asia>>>, will likely lead to reduced harvests, tighter supplies, and upward pressure on food prices, affecting consumers and agricultural companies worldwide.
The World Meteorological Organization>>> (WMO) has issued a warning about an 80% likelihood of an El Niño–Southern Oscillation>>> event developing between June and August, with a high probability of it continuing until at least November. This event, characterized by warming sea temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, is expected to be at least moderate, possibly strong, and could lead to increased global temperatures, exacerbated droughts, heavy rainfall, and heatwaves. World Meteorological Organization>>> Secretary-General Celeste Saulo>>> urged preparedness for these severe impacts, which include risks to food and water supplies, and a wider spread of vector-borne diseases. United Nations>>> Secretary-General António Guterres>>> linked the impending El Niño–Southern Oscillation>>> to the broader climate crisis, calling for urgent climate action and a shift away from fossil fuels. The event is already causing hot and dry conditions across Asia>>>, affecting crop planting in countries like India>>>, Thailand>>>, Indonesia>>>, and Australia>>>. This is raising concerns about food supplies and prices, with Wheat>>> and Rice>>> prices already seeing increases. Cocoa processors like Barry Callebaut>>> are also monitoring potential impacts on Cocoa bean>>> output in regions like Ecuador>>> and West Africa>>>.
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