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Domestic economic downturn

Indonesia's Economic Confidence Crisis

Analysis based on 19 articles · First reported Jun 08, 2026 · Last updated Jun 14, 2026

Sentiment
-80
Attention
8
Articles
19
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard

The market is experiencing a significant loss of confidence in Indonesia>>> due to its President's populist policies and unorthodox economic decisions. This has led to the Indonesia — Indonesian rupiah>>> becoming the world's worst-performing currency, substantial foreign outflows from stocks and government bonds, and negative outlooks from major credit rating agencies, signaling potential downgrades and increased borrowing costs for Indonesia>>>.

Financial Services Commodities Government Bonds

Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto>>>'s administration, which began in 2024, is facing a severe investor confidence crisis. His populist policies, including free school meals and undoing spending discipline, combined with unorthodox decisions like centralizing commodity exports under the Danantara sovereign fund and mandating new roles for the central bank, have rocked markets. The Indonesia — Indonesian rupiah>>> has plunged over 8% against the United States>>> to a record low, making it the world's worst-performing currency in 2026. Foreign investors have pulled $3.2 billion from stocks and reduced government bond ownership to a near 20-year low. Credit rating agencies like Moody s Ratings>>>, Fitch Ratings, and S&P Global Ratings>>> have issued negative outlooks, and MSCI>>> is reviewing Indonesia>>>'s equity status. This 'doom-loop' of outflows, currency depreciation, and policy uncertainty is threatening Indonesia>>>'s investment-grade credit rating and long-term growth prospects, exacerbated by external pressures from the global energy shock.

cnt
Indonesia is experiencing a severe confidence crisis among investors, leading to a plunging currency, stock market, and bond outflows, threatening its credit rating and economic growth.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment -90.0
per
As the President of Indonesia>>>, Prabowo Subianto>>>'s populist policies and unorthodox decisions are directly causing the loss of investor trust and the economic downturn.
Importance 95.0 Sentiment -85.0
curr
The Indonesia — Indonesian rupiah>>> is the world's worst-performing currency in 2026, down over 8% against the United States>>>, acting as both a symptom and source of Indonesia>>>'s economic troubles.
Importance 90.0 Sentiment -90.0
stock
MSCI>>> is reviewing trading and transparency issues in Indonesia>>>'s equities, with a potential cut to frontier status.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
S&P Global Ratings>>> has stated its rating for Indonesia>>> will depend on efforts to improve fiscal buffers.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
Moody s Ratings>>> has cut its debt rating outlook for Indonesia>>> to negative, citing reduced policymaking credibility.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
Pictet Asset Management>>> has aggressively cut its exposure to Indonesian stocks due to the confidence crisis.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
Bank Lombard Odier & Co>>>'s Asia chief investment officer, John Woods, confirmed the formation of a 'doom-loop' in Indonesia>>>'s markets.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
stock
91>>> believes Indonesia>>>'s negative spiral stems from pursuing unfeasible growth rates.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
S CUBE Capital>>> views Indonesia>>> as an emerging market with rising policy risk rather than a reliably orthodox one.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
The war involving United States>>>, Israel>>>, and Iran>>> has caused a global energy shock, contributing to external pressure on Indonesia>>>'s economy.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
The war involving United States>>>, Israel>>>, and Iran>>> has caused a global energy shock, contributing to external pressure on Indonesia>>>'s economy.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
The war involving United States>>>, Israel>>>, and Iran>>> has caused a global energy shock, contributing to external pressure on Indonesia>>>'s economy.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
Indonesia related MSCI
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