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Events / Political / Donald Trump's Approval Declines
Domestic political polling

Donald Trump's Approval Declines

Analysis based on 36 articles · First reported Jun 12, 2026 · Last updated Jun 15, 2026

Sentiment
-40
Attention
4
Articles
36
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard
Market Impact

The significant decline in Donald Trump's approval ratings among independent and rural voters, driven by economic concerns and the Iran war, signals potential trouble for the Republican Party in the upcoming midterm elections. This shift could lead to a change in control of the US Congress, potentially impacting policy decisions and market sentiment related to various industries. The Democratic Party's gains suggest a possible shift in political power, which could influence future legislative agendas and economic policies.

Government Political Consulting
Event Summary

Donald Trump's approval rating has reached a second-term low, primarily due to a significant decline in support among independent voters, particularly those without a college degree, Hispanic independents, and younger independents. This erosion of support is largely attributed to widespread dissatisfaction with his handling of the economy, persistent inflation, and elevated gas and food prices, exacerbated by the ongoing Iran war. Polls from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, Reuters/Ipsos, and NBCUniversal — NBC News confirm this trend, showing a drop in overall approval and a new low in rural American support. This decline poses a substantial challenge for the Republican Party in the upcoming midterm elections, as the Democratic Party is gaining ground and voters express a desire for a change in congressional control.

Entities Involved
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Associated Press
The Associated Press, in collaboration with NORC, conducted a comprehensive analysis of nearly two dozen polls, providing crucial data on the decline in Donald Trump's approval among independent voters. Their research highlights the specific demographic shifts and economic concerns driving this trend.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
Ipsos
Ipsos, in collaboration with Reuters, conducted a poll showing a significant decline in Donald Trump's approval rating among rural Americans, attributing it to dissatisfaction with his handling of the cost of living and the US economy.
Importance 65.0 Sentiment 0.0
ngo
The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research
The The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research conducted the analysis of multiple polls, providing crucial data on the decline of President Donald Trump's approval ratings among various voter demographics.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 0.0
subs
NBCUniversal — NBC News
NBCUniversal — NBC News released polling data indicating that Donald Trump's approval rating hit a second-term low of 39% among all US adults, further underscoring the challenges he faces ahead of the midterm elections.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Tafari Torres
Tafari Torres, a senior research associate at University of Chicago, co-authored the analysis and provided insights into the reasons behind the decline in independent support for Donald Trump.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Susan Collins
Susan Collins, a research associate at University of Chicago, co-authored the analysis and highlighted the surprising steeper decline in support among non-college educated independents for Donald Trump.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris was mentioned as the former Vice President and Donald Trump's opponent in the 2024 presidential election, with independent voters without a college degree being slightly more likely to back Trump over her.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment 0.0
ngo
Pew Research Center
Pew Research Center's exit poll analysis showed that Donald Trump won rural voters by 40 points in the 2024 election, highlighting the significance of this demographic in his past victories.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Roger Wicker
Roger Wicker is a Mississippi Senator for whom Bryan Shaver once worked, indicating a historical Republican affiliation for Shaver, who is now concerned about high prices hurting the United States — Republican Party (United States).
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Fabian Rauch
Fabian Rauch, an Air Force veteran from Montana, represents a segment of rural Americans who are increasingly disapproving of Donald Trump's performance due to higher gas and food prices and concerns about the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Importance 5.0 Sentiment -10.0
per
Bryan Shaver
Bryan Shaver, an insurance agent from Mississippi, voted for Donald Trump in 2024 but is now frustrated by persistently high food prices, expressing concern that these issues will hurt the Republican Party in the midterms.
Importance 5.0 Sentiment -10.0
per
Bill McInturff
Bill McInturff, a Republican pollster, provided commentary on the NBC poll results, noting that while the numbers are 'rocky for Republicans,' they are 'not catastrophic.'
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Jeff Horwitt
Jeff Horwitt, a Democratic pollster, commented on the NBC poll results, stating that Democrats 'are still in a really good position, despite redistricting, to win seats.'
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 0.0
ngo
A More Perfect Union
A More Perfect Union, a nonpartisan nonprofit, sponsored the NBC poll that found 49% of registered voters want to see Democrats take control of Congress in the midterms.
Importance 5.0 Sentiment 0.0
polparty
United States — Democratic Party (United States)
Importance 0.0 Sentiment 0.0
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Relationships
Susan Collins related ↔ Kamala Harris
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