Putin likely to escalate Ukraine war

According to three sources close to the Russia — Kremlin, President Vladimir Putin is rejecting calls for peace negotiations with Ukraine and is instead likely to escalate the conflict in the coming months. Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries and ports have strengthened his resolve. Putin has 'dug in his heels' to capture the remainder of Donbas, rebuffing advisers who suggested a ceasefire. Russian military experts have publicly discussed hitting NATO bases in Baltic countries, and a recent Russian drone strike on Romania has raised tensions. The Russia — Kremlin publicly maintains openness to peace but sources indicate preparations for further military operations. The war has caused an estimated 2 million casualties, with Russian forces struggling to advance. Putin's approval rating has hit its lowest point since 2022. The U.S. under President Donald Trump has pursued peace initiatives, but Russia — Kremlin insiders see a high probability of escalation.