Snapshot from Jul 25, 2026 at 07:00 UTC. For live data and tracking: View Live
Business trade data release

US trade deficit widens sharply in May

Analysis based on 22 articles · First reported Jun 26, 2026 · Last updated Jul 08, 2026

Sentiment
-20
Attention
4
Articles
22
Market Impact
General
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The wider trade deficit is expected to subtract about 1.7 percentage points from second-quarter GDP growth, leading economists at Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to cut their growth estimates. However, strong imports signal resilient domestic demand, and inventory accumulation may offset some of the drag.

technology oil and gas automotive

The U.S. trade deficit widened sharply in May 2026, jumping 42.2% to $77.6 billion, the highest level since March 2025. Imports rose 3.3% to $395.3 billion, driven by a record $128.0 billion in capital goods imports fueled by artificial intelligence investment. Exports fell 3.2% to $317.7 billion due to a strong dollar and declines in capital goods, consumer goods, and industrial supplies. The goods trade deficit widened 28.4% to $106.5 billion. Economists expect the wider trade gap to subtract about 1.7 percentage points from second-quarter GDP growth. The deficit was also influenced by businesses front-loading imports to avoid shortages and higher prices related to the Middle East conflict, and by the U.S.-led war with Iran, which boosted U.S. petroleum exports to a record high. The U.S. continued to run goods trade deficits with countries including Vietnam, Mexico, China, Canada, Germany, South Korea, India, Republic of Ireland, and Taiwan, despite tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. The U.S. Supreme Court struck down earlier tariffs, but the White House responded with new duties. The Atlanta United States — Federal Reserve's model forecasts GDP increasing at a 1.2-1.4% annualized rate in the second quarter.

88 United States increased crude exports
83 United States widened trade deficit
83 United States accumulated trade deficit
73 United States allowed tankers Iran
70 United States imported capital goods
60 Morgan Stanley slashed GDP growth estimate
60 Goldman Sachs revised down forecast
60 Morgan Stanley slashed growth estimate United States
60 Goldman Sachs cut growth estimate United States
60 Goldman Sachs cut growth estimate United States
cnt
The U.S. trade deficit widened sharply, negatively impacting GDP growth outlook. Imports surged due to AI investment and front-loading, while exports fell.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment -20.0
govactor
Reported the trade data, showing a record capital goods imports and widened deficit.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
His tariffs remain in place, but trade deficits persist. The Supreme Court struck down earlier tariffs, but new duties were proposed.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment -30.0
cnt
The U.S.-led war with Iran disrupted Middle East shipping, boosting U.S. oil exports but also contributing to import front-loading. A preliminary peace deal was signed.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment -40.0
govactor
Provided the official trade deficit figures.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 0.0
govactor
Provided goods trade deficit data.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 0.0
cbnk
Forecasted GDP growth at a 1.2% annualized rate in the second quarter, reflecting the trade drag.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment -10.0
cbnk
Atlanta Fed model forecasts lower GDP growth due to trade drag.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
Joint U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran contributed to Middle East conflict and trade disruptions.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment -20.0
loc
Disruption due to U.S.-Iran war boosted U.S. oil exports; peace deal allowed resumption of shipments.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment -30.0
stock
Slash their second-quarter GDP growth estimate to 2.1% from 2.5% due to trade data.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment -10.0
stock
Lowered its GDP growth estimate by 0.2 percentage points to 2.2%.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment -10.0
govactor
Struck down earlier Trump tariffs, but new duties were proposed.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 10.0
cnt
One of the countries with which the U.S. runs a goods trade deficit.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
One of the countries with which the U.S. runs a goods trade deficit.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
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United States enemy Iran The United States is actively at war with Iran, having launched military strikes and imposed a strict naval blockade to
United States strategic ally Israel The United States acts as the primary military and diplomatic patron for Israel, supplying billions in arms and joint op
Donald Trump military adversary Iran US President Donald Trump is engaged in a direct military conflict and naval blockade against Iran. He has ordered milit
Donald Trump policy ally Israel As President of the United States, Donald Trump acts as a primary policy ally and diplomatic counterpart to Israel. He h
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