June Ag Economy Barometer declines
Analysis based on 10 articles · First reported Jul 07, 2026 · Last updated Jul 07, 2026
The decline in farmer sentiment and investment intentions signals potential headwinds for agricultural input suppliers and equipment manufacturers. Lower capital investment may reduce demand for farm machinery and inputs, while cautious outlooks could pressure agricultural commodity prices.
The June 2026 Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer fell 6 points to 113, with the Current Conditions Index dropping to an 18-month low of 102 and the Future Expectations Index down 7 points. High input costs remained the top concern for 47% of producers, followed by low crop and livestock prices (23%). The Farm Capital Investment Index fell to 40, its lowest since September 2024. Only 12% of farmers reported being better off financially than a year ago, and 22% expect improvement in the next 12 months. Long-term outlooks weakened, with 32% expecting good times over five years, down from 49% a year ago. Short-term farmland value expectations declined, but long-term expectations tied a record high. Producers showed positive export expectations and strong support for free trade. The survey also revealed skepticism about AI tools in agriculture.
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