Snapshot from Aug 14, 2026 at 07:00 UTC. For live data and tracking: View Live
Accidents historical research

1789 smallpox epidemic from First Fleet

Analysis based on 7 articles · First reported Jul 09, 2026 · Last updated Jul 28, 2026

Sentiment
-30
Attention
0
Articles
7
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard

This historical research has no direct market impact. It may influence public discourse and funding for Indigenous studies but does not affect financial markets.

academic research public health

A new study published in Nature Human Behaviour used modeling to trace the 1789 smallpox epidemic among Aboriginal Australians to the First Fleet. The research suggests the disease originated from the British colony in Sydney, not from Makassan traders in the north. The epidemic may have killed up to 220,000 Indigenous Australians and spread along coastlines and rivers, persisting for up to 21 years. The study involved researchers from multiple Australian universities and the Gujaga Foundation, and highlights the devastating demographic and cultural impact still felt today.

100 First Fleet introduced smallpox Dharawal
80 Cody Nitschke led study
70 Corey Bradshaw co-authored study
60 Shane Ingrey co-authored study
50 David Ingrey provided testimony
oth
The First Fleet is identified as the source of the smallpox epidemic, according to the study.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment -60.0
oth
The Dharawal people were the primary victims of the 1789 smallpox outbreak, with devastating population loss and cultural harm.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment -50.0
per
Lead author of the study, conducted the modeling at Flinders University.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 0.0
ngo
The foundation collaborated on the study, representing Dharawal Nation ancestors affected by the epidemic.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Co-author and chief investigator who contributed to the modeling and interpretation.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Co-author from Gujaga Foundation and UNSW, provided Indigenous perspective.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Co-author and researcher affiliated with Monash University.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Co-author who received ARC funding for the research.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Senior Elder of Australia — La Perouse Community who provided testimony on Dharawal oral history.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
loc
Community of Dharawal descendants who maintained cultural continuity despite forced relocation.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
govactor
The ARC funded the research through its Centre of Excellence.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
Affiliation of co-author Alan Williams.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment 0.0
ERGEN INTELLIGENCE
Track this event live

Set up alerts, explore entity relationships, search across thousands of events, and build custom intelligence feeds.

Open Dashboard

About Ergen

Ergen is a news intelligence platform that converts raw news articles into structured data. It tracks events, entities, and the relationships between them, with sentiment and attention metrics derived from thousands of articles. Pages on this site are daily static snapshots from the platform's live database. For real-time tracking, search, and alerts, the full dashboard is at app.ergen.ai.