Bank of Canada holds rate at 2.25%
Analysis based on 9 articles · First reported Jul 15, 2026 · Last updated Jul 15, 2026
The rate hold was in line with expectations, providing stability for Canadian markets. The Canada — Canadian dollar may face continued pressure from the U.S.-Canada interest rate differential.
On July 15, 2026, the Royal Bank of Canada held its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The decision was widely expected. The Bank noted that Canada's economy is showing signs of improvement, with growth picking up and inflation projected to ease gradually from its recent spike. However, risks and uncertainties remain related to the war in the Middle East and U.S. trade policy. CPI inflation rose to 3.2% in May, mainly due to higher gasoline prices linked to the Middle East conflict. The Bank projects GDP growth of 0.7% in 2026, followed by 1.8% in 2027 and 2028. The next rate announcement is scheduled for September 2, 2026.
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