Brazil Amazon fires hit historic low in 2025
Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Jul 21, 2026 · Last updated Jul 28, 2026
The reduction in Amazon fires and deforestation supports Brazil's environmental credentials, potentially boosting investor sentiment and aiding Lula's reelection campaign. However, the threat of a 'super El Nino' and ongoing Cerrado Gold fires pose risks to agricultural and energy sectors.
Forest fires in the Brazilian Amazon fell to a historic low in 2025 after peaking in 2024, according to a report by environmental monitoring network MapBiomas published in July 2026. Using satellite images, MapBiomas found that 3.1 million hectares burned in 2025, the smallest area since records began in 1985. The decline was attributed to a delayed rainy season, reduced deforestation, and a 'psychological factor' among communities. However, the Cerrado Gold savanna continued to burn at similar rates. Geographer Ane Alencar warned of a potential 'super El Nino' in 2026 that could bring an extended dry season and greater fire risk. The news is positive for President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of October elections, though his endorsement of offshore oil exploration near the Amazon has drawn criticism.
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