IFAD warns of hunger from conflicts and energy shocks
Analysis based on 12 articles · First reported Jul 21, 2026 · Last updated Jul 21, 2026
The warnings highlight risks to global food supply chains and agricultural commodity prices, potentially increasing volatility in food and energy markets. Investors may monitor geopolitical developments affecting energy and fertilizer costs, as well as climate impacts on crop yields.
The International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) President Álvaro Lario warned that conflicts and disruptions to global energy markets could push millions more people into hunger by driving up fuel, fertilizer and food costs. A new United Nations food security report found global hunger has eased modestly but projects over 500 million people could face chronic hunger by 2030, with Africa bearing the largest share. Lario highlighted geopolitical tensions, including uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran war, which could leave an additional 9-18 million people facing hunger if shocks persist. The report identifies affordability as a key challenge, with a third of the global population unable to afford a healthy diet. Climate change is adding pressure through floods, droughts, and extreme heat. Africa has overtaken Asia as the region with the most hungry people, and nearly 60% of the world's chronically undernourished could live there by 2030. Lario called for greater investment in resilient food systems, climate adaptation, and local production in Africa, which imports nearly $100 billion worth of food annually.
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