Snapshot from Aug 18, 2026 at 07:00 UTC. For live data and tracking: View Live
Business commodity price movement

Soybean futures fall on weather and crude

Analysis based on 6 articles · First reported Aug 04, 2026 · Last updated Aug 11, 2026

Sentiment
-20
Attention
2
Articles
6
Market Impact
General
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Soybean oil futures prices fell due to bearish factors including weaker products, lower crude oil, and improved weather forecasts. The decline reflects expectations of ample supply and reduced demand concerns, impacting agricultural commodity markets and related ETFs and futures.

Agriculture Commodity Trading

Soybean oil futures declined across the board on Tuesday, pressured by weaker soybean products, falling crude oil prices, and forecasts of wetter weather in key US growing regions. The national average cash soybean price fell to $11.29 per bushel, down 18.25 cents. Soymeal and soybean oil futures also declined. The USDA reported private export sales of soybeans to China and soybean meal to the Philippines. Weekly Crop Progress data from NASS showed the US soybean crop was 88% blooming and 62% setting pods as of August 2, with condition ratings steady at 63% good/excellent. USDA Fats & Oils data showed June soybean crush at 217.8 million bushels, slightly below expectations, while monthly Census data showed June soybean exports at 1.917 million metric tons, the largest June total in four years. StoneX released an initial estimate for the 2026 US soybean crop at 53 bushels per acre, with production at 4.47 billion bushels. A Thomson Reuters — Reuters survey of traders expects NASS to peg US soybean yield at 52.9 bushels per acre in the upcoming WASDE report. ANEC raised its estimate for August Brazilian soybean exports to 10.88 million metric tons.

cmdt
Soybean oil futures declined 18-20 cents on Tuesday, pressured by weaker products, crude oil, and wetter forecasts. The national average cash price fell to $11.29 per bushel.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment -20.0
govactor
USDA reported export sales to China and the Philippines, released Fats & Oils crush data, and monthly Census export data, providing key supply-demand information.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
China purchased 132,000 MT of 2026/27 soybeans, supporting demand but not enough to offset bearish supply factors.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment 10.0
govactor
NASS released weekly Crop Progress data showing 88% blooming and 62% setting pods, with condition ratings steady at 63% good/excellent.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment 0.0
cnt
ANEC raised its August soybean export estimate to 10.88 MMT, indicating strong Brazilian supply that pressures global prices.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment -10.0
cmdt
Petroleum fell $4.30-$5.20, adding pressure to soybean prices as lower energy costs reduce biofuel demand and overall commodity sentiment.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment -20.0
cnt
The Philippines purchased 180,000 MT of soybean meal, a notable export sale.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 10.0
stock
StoneX released an initial 2026 US soybean crop estimate of 53 bpa and 4.47 bbu production, providing supply outlook.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
subs
Thomson Reuters — Reuters conducted a survey of traders expecting NASS to peg US soybean yield at 52.9 bpa, influencing market expectations.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
ngo
ANEC raised its August Brazilian soybean export estimate by 1.14 MMT to 10.88 MMT, indicating strong supply.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
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