Snapshot from Aug 13, 2026 at 07:00 UTC. For live data and tracking: View Live
International public opinion poll

US-Iran war unpopular, Americans expect chaos

Analysis based on 11 articles · First reported Aug 06, 2026 · Last updated Aug 06, 2026

Sentiment
-60
Attention
6
Articles
11
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard

The poll signals growing public discontent with the prolonged U.S.-Iran conflict, which could pressure the Trump administration to de-escalate, potentially easing geopolitical risk premiums in oil markets. However, continued disruption of Strait of Hormuz shipping and threats to Bab-el-Mandeb traffic keep energy prices elevated, impacting global inflation and consumer sentiment.

Oil & Gas Defense Politics

A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted over six days, concluding on August 3, 2026, reveals that five months into the U.S.-led war with Iran, Americans are deeply pessimistic about the conflict's trajectory. Fifty percent of respondents expect the Middle East to become more unstable over the next year, compared to only 17% who foresee greater stability. The poll also shows widespread concern about rising gasoline prices, with 58% expecting them to worsen, as Iran has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Public approval of the war stands at just 35%, and for the first time since December 2024, voters favor the Democratic Party over the Republican Party on handling war and terrorism (37% to 36%) and on managing the economy. The war, launched by President Donald Trump with Israel in late February, has cost U.S. taxpayers at least $37.5 billion and killed 18 U.S. service members and thousands of Iranians. The poll also highlights broader anxieties about the Russia-Ukraine war, potential China-Taiwan conflict, and other global flashpoints.

100 United States withdrew from deal Iran
90 Iran warned ships
85 Iran launched missile and drone attacks
80 Donald Trump warned Iran
70 Houthis announced maritime embargo Saudi Arabia
cnt
The United States is the primary actor in the war with Iran, facing significant financial costs ($37.5 billion), military casualties, and declining public support for the conflict.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment -50.0
cnt
Iran is the target of the U.S.-led war, suffering thousands of casualties and significant degradation of its military capabilities, while its actions in the Strait of Hormuz and regional proxies contribute to global instability.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment -70.0
per
President Trump's handling of the war is under scrutiny, with only 35% approval of the war and his backing away from threatened attacks highlighting uncertainty in his strategy.
Importance 90.0 Sentiment -40.0
cnt
Israel is a key ally in the war, launching attacks alongside the U.S. that have weakened Iran's capabilities, but also contributing to regional instability.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment -30.0
loc
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical oil chokepoint, and Iran's disruption of traffic there has raised gasoline prices and global energy concerns.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment -50.0
cmdt
Petroleum markets are affected by supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb, leading to higher prices and inflationary pressures.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment -40.0
polparty
The Republican Party faces political risk from the unpopular war, with voters now favoring Democrats on handling war and terrorism and the economy.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment -30.0
polparty
The Democratic Party gains political advantage as voters shift support, leading on war and terrorism handling and economic management for the first time in a decade.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 30.0
cmdt
Gasoline prices are expected to worsen according to 58% of Americans, reflecting the impact of oil supply disruptions on consumers.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment -50.0
cnt
Lebanon has seen new fighting sparked by the war, though intensity has reduced since a U.S.-brokered truce, affecting regional stability.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment -30.0
loc
The Bab-el-Mandeb chokepoint is threatened by Houthi actions, adding to oil supply risks and regional instability.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment -30.0
cnt
Saudi Arabia faces threats to its shipping from Houthi forces, impacting its oil exports and regional security.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment -20.0
cnt
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a separate conflict that Americans fear will worsen, adding to global instability and geopolitical risk.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment -20.0
cnt
Ukraine is the victim of Russia's invasion, with U.S. support, and Americans are concerned the war could escalate further.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment -20.0
cnt
Yemen, through the Houthis, threatens Saudi shipping, adding to the disruption of global oil trade and regional instability.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment -20.0
+ 11 more entities View on Dashboard
United States at war Iran The United States is currently at war with Iran, conducting sustained airstrikes and enforcing a naval blockade, while f
United States close ally Israel The United States considers Israel a vital strategic ally in the Middle East, providing substantial military and economi
United States related Petroleum
United States related Gasoline
United States mediator Lebanon The United States acts as a primary diplomatic mediator for Lebanon, hosting ceasefire talks with Israel and facilitatin
Iran related Donald Trump
Iran enemy Israel Iran views Israel as an existential enemy, having severed all diplomatic ties and actively engaging in direct and proxy
Iran related Petroleum
Iran related Gasoline
Iran strained Lebanon Iran utilizes Lebanon as a primary base for its proxy, Hezbollah, projecting regional power and demanding Lebanon's incl
+ 20 more relationships View on Dashboard
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