SEBI Annual Report 2025-26
Analysis based on 7 articles · First reported Aug 08, 2026 · Last updated Aug 08, 2026
The report reinforces expectations of India's relative economic outperformance, which could support domestic equities and the India — Indian rupee. However, persistent geopolitical risks and high crude prices may continue to pressure foreign capital inflows and the current account deficit, keeping market volatility elevated.
The India — Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) released its Annual Report for 2025-26, projecting that India's financial markets will remain supported by resilient domestic economic fundamentals in 2026-27, despite heightened geopolitical uncertainty, elevated commodity prices, and volatile foreign capital flows. The report highlighted that India's real GDP growth accelerated to 7.7% in 2025-26, driven by robust domestic demand, government capital expenditure, and a strong services sector. However, Indian equities faced a difficult year, with the NIFTY 50 and broader indices declining around 14% in US dollar terms, reflecting sustained foreign portfolio investor (FPI) selling, rupee depreciation, valuation concerns, slower earnings growth, and the impact of the Middle East conflict. FPI equity outflows reached a record USD 19.7 billion. SEBI warned that a prolonged Middle East conflict and crude oil prices above USD 100 per barrel could widen the current account deficit and increase inflationary pressures. The report cited the International Monetary Fund's projection of 6.5% growth for India in 2026-27, compared with global growth of 3.1%. SEBI noted that a restructuring of global supply chains could create new investment opportunities for India, and that a resolution of the Middle East conflict and normalization of energy prices would be key catalysts for a recovery in foreign flows.
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