India monsoon rainfall deficit threatens crops
Analysis based on 8 articles · First reported Aug 11, 2026 · Last updated Aug 11, 2026
The expected rainfall deficit could reduce agricultural output, potentially driving up prices for cotton, soybean, corn, and pulses. This may impact inflation and the broader Indian economy, given the importance of agriculture to livelihoods and food security.
India's monsoon is expected to bring below-average rainfall to western, central, and southern regions over the next fortnight, threatening newly planted cotton, soybean, corn, and pulse crops. The Malaysia — Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts a significant rainfall deficit, which is likely to widen due to a strengthening El Niño–Southern Oscillation. India has already received 12% less rainfall than average this monsoon season, with India — Andhra Pradesh recording deficits up to 34%. Farmers have planted summer-sown crops on 96.8 million hectares, nearly 2% lower than last year, and the crops are vulnerable to dry spells as their roots have not yet penetrated deep into the soil.
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