US-Iran Strait of Hormuz conflict loop

The United States and Iran remain locked in a recurring cycle of threats, negotiations, and military strikes over control of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping chokepoint. Since the war began on February 28, the two sides have repeatedly alternated between diplomatic overtures and violence. Iran has demanded the US lift sanctions, unfreeze assets, and remove its naval blockade in exchange for reopening the strait, reiterating terms from a June memorandum of understanding. President Donald Trump has countered by demanding compensation for casualties and asserting US control over the waterway. The US has imposed, lifted, and reimposed blockades, and launched escort operations, while Iran has targeted vessels, leading to at least 84 incidents of harm to shipping since March. A June deal collapsed after the US encouraged vessels to use routes near Oman, prompting Iranian attacks and US air strikes. Iran's new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has appointed hardliners, including Mohsen Rezaee, to key security posts, signaling preparation for a prolonged conflict. Analysts suggest the cycle may persist until one side is politically or militarily exhausted.