Snapshot from Aug 24, 2026 at 07:00 UTC. For live data and tracking: View Live
Events / Political / Trump approval falls to 33% amid Iran war
Domestic political poll

Trump approval falls to 33% amid Iran war

Analysis based on 95 articles · First reported Jul 24, 2026 · Last updated Aug 19, 2026

Sentiment
-60
Attention
6
Articles
95
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard
Market Impact

The prolonged Iran conflict and resulting high gasoline prices are weighing on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, pressuring oil-dependent sectors and raising costs for households. Political uncertainty ahead of the midterms, coupled with concerns over presidential ethics and business entanglements, may increase market volatility and affect sectors sensitive to policy changes.

Oil & Gas Government Financial Services
Event Summary

A Thomson Reuters — Reuters/Ipsos poll concluded on August 17, 2026, showed President Donald Trump's approval rating fell to 33%, the lowest of his presidency, with 64% disapproving. The decline is attributed to the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, which has disrupted oil trade through the Strait of Hormuz and pushed gasoline prices above $4 per gallon. 80% of Americans expect the conflict to last an extended period, and only 20% believe the war has been worth it. The poll also found that 69% of Americans believe Trump has inappropriately profited from his family's cryptocurrency ventures, including World Liberty Financial and the TRUMP (meme coin), and that his business interests influence his decisions. The war and economic concerns are hurting Republicans' prospects in the November midterm elections, with Democrats leading on economic stewardship for the first time in a decade. Trump has reportedly grown frustrated with the war's duration and strained ties with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The United States — White House denies conflicts of interest and says Trump's investments are independently managed.

Key Actions
95 Ipsos conducted poll
84 Iran closed Strait of Hormuz
77 Donald Trump order strikes Iran
77 United States killed troops
76 United States launched surprise attack Iran
75 Israel struck Iran
73 Donald Trump appealed for patience
73 Donald Trump appealed for patience
71 Iran killed people
67 United States lost troops
66 Hezbollah fired rockets Israel
65 Donald Trump deployed more troops
60 Donald Trump promoted crypto coin TRUMP (meme coin)
60 Donald Trump promoted crypto coin TRUMP (meme coin)
60 United States — Republican Party (United States) faces midterm pressure
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Entities Involved
cnt
United States
The U.S. is engaged in a prolonged military conflict with Iran, affecting its economy, politics, and global standing. The war has led to higher gasoline prices and domestic political challenges for the ruling party.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment -60.0
per
Donald Trump
President Trump's approval rating fell to a record low of 33% amid the Iran war and economic concerns. His handling of the conflict and gas prices is widely disapproved, and allegations of profiting from crypto ventures have further eroded public trust.
Importance 100.0 Sentiment -70.0
cnt
Iran
Iran is the adversary in the ongoing war, which has disrupted global oil trade and raised gasoline prices. The conflict has strained its economy and international relations, but it has shown resilience in keeping the Strait of Hormuz partially closed.
Importance 90.0 Sentiment -50.0
polparty
United States — Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party faces electoral headwinds due to the unpopular war and economic concerns, with its approval on economic issues falling behind Democrats for the first time in a decade. The party's immigration advantage has also narrowed.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment -50.0
loc
Strait of Hormuz
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil trade, and its partial closure due to the conflict has driven up oil and gasoline prices, affecting global markets and U.S. consumers.
Importance 80.0 Sentiment -70.0
polparty
United States — Democratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is gaining ground ahead of the midterms, with voters favoring them on economic management and cost of living. They are seen as better positioned to challenge Republican majorities.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment 40.0
cnt
Israel
Israel is a U.S. ally that joined strikes on Iran, contributing to the conflict. The war has strained ties with Trump, who is reportedly reluctant to engage with Prime Minister Netanyahu.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment -30.0
cmdt
Petroleum
Petroleum prices have risen due to the conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, benefiting producers but hurting consumers and import-dependent economies. The market remains volatile.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment -50.0
cmdt
Gasoline
Gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon, directly impacting U.S. households and contributing to inflation concerns. This has become a major political liability for the administration.
Importance 70.0 Sentiment -60.0
govactor
United States — White House
The United States — White House is the center of the administration's response to the war and ethical allegations. Its credibility is under scrutiny.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment -50.0
subs
Thomson Reuters — Reuters
Thomson Reuters — Reuters conducted the poll that is central to this event, providing data on approval ratings and public sentiment. Its reporting has shaped coverage of the war's political impact.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
Ipsos
Ipsos co-conducted the poll with Thomson Reuters — Reuters, providing methodology and data. Its role is instrumental in measuring public opinion.
Importance 60.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
The Economist
The The Economist co-conducted a YouGov poll that also recorded Trump's approval at 33%, corroborating the decline.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
YouGov
YouGov conducted the The Economist/YouGov poll, providing additional data on Trump's approval and public perceptions.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment 0.0
govactor
United States — United States Senate
The Senate is also contested in the midterms, with Democrats seeing an opportunity to gain control. The political climate favors them.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment -20.0
+ 34 more entities View on Dashboard
Relationships
United States related ↔ Donald Trump
United States at war ↔ Iran The United States is currently at war with Iran, conducting sustained airstrikes and enforcing a naval blockade, while f
United States related ↔ United States — Republican Party (United States)
United States related ↔ United States — Democratic Party (United States)
United States close ally ↔ Israel The United States considers Israel a vital strategic ally in the Middle East, providing substantial military and economi
United States related ↔ Petroleum
United States related ↔ Gasoline
United States related ↔ United States — White House
Donald Trump adversary ↔ Iran Donald Trump, as the President of the United States, is Iran's primary adversary, having initiated and directed military
Donald Trump party leader ↔ United States — Republican Party (United States) Donald Trump is the current 47th President of the United States and holds unparalleled dominance over the Republican Par
Donald Trump political opponent ↔ United States — Democratic Party (United States) Donald Trump is the leading political opponent of the Democratic Party, consistently challenging their policies, legisla
Donald Trump diplomatic counterpart ↔ Israel Donald Trump, as the current US President, serves as a key diplomatic counterpart to Israel, influencing US foreign poli
Donald Trump related ↔ Petroleum
Donald Trump related ↔ Gasoline
Donald Trump head ↔ United States — White House Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, serving as the head of the White House and its administratio
+ 21 more relationships View on Dashboard
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