Snapshot from Aug 24, 2026 at 07:00 UTC. For live data and tracking: View Live
Events / Political / 2028 presidential poll shows Rubio ahead
Domestic political poll

2028 presidential poll shows Rubio ahead

Analysis based on 8 articles · First reported Aug 20, 2026 · Last updated Aug 20, 2026

Sentiment
0
Attention
1
Articles
8
Market Impact
General
Live prominence charts, article sentiment distribution, and event development timeline available on the Ergen Dashboard
Market Impact

This is a political poll with minimal direct market impact. It may influence political betting markets and investor sentiment regarding potential future policy directions, but the effect is negligible.

Political Campaigns
Event Summary

A new Emerson College and The Hill poll of 1,000 respondents tested hypothetical 2028 presidential matchups between Republican candidates Marco Rubio and JD Vance against several Democratic contenders. Rubio outperformed Vance in most matchups, leading Kamala Harris by 5 points while Vance trailed Harris by 4 points. Both Republicans lost to Pete Buttigieg by 5 points. Jon Ossoff and Gavin Newsom led both Republicans, with smaller margins against Rubio. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trailed both Republicans. Neither Vance nor Rubio has announced a 2028 run, and Donald Trump has not endorsed either, though he reportedly told donors 'we need to elect JD' and has floated a Vance-Rubio ticket.

Entities Involved
per
Marco Rubio
Rubio is a top contender for the 2028 GOP nomination; the poll shows him performing well against Democrats, which could boost his political standing.
Importance 90.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
JD Vance
Vance is a leading GOP candidate; the poll shows him slightly behind Rubio in most matchups, but he remains a strong contender.
Importance 90.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Donald Trump
Trump has not endorsed a 2028 candidate but reportedly favors Vance; his influence could shape the primary.
Importance 50.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Pete Buttigieg
Buttigieg is a potential Democratic candidate; the poll shows him leading both Republicans by 5 points.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Kamala Harris
Harris is a potential Democratic candidate; the poll shows her leading Vance but trailing Rubio.
Importance 40.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Jon Ossoff
Ossoff is a potential Democratic candidate; the poll shows him leading both Republicans by 5 points.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Gavin Newsom
Newsom is a potential Democratic candidate; the poll shows him leading both Republicans by 5 points.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Ocasio-Cortez is a potential Democratic candidate; the poll shows her trailing both Republicans.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
polparty
United States — Republican Party (United States)
The Republican Party is the context for the primary; the poll reflects potential candidates.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
polparty
United States — Democratic Party (United States)
The Democratic Party is the context for the opposition; the poll reflects potential candidates.
Importance 30.0 Sentiment 0.0
priv
The Hill
The Hill co-sponsored the poll and reported on it; it is a news outlet.
Importance 20.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Ted Cruz
Cruz is mentioned as a past rival of Rubio in the 2016 primary; not a major factor in this poll.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment 0.0
per
Usha Vance
Usha Vance is mentioned as JD Vance's wife; she may influence his decision to run.
Importance 10.0 Sentiment 0.0
Relationships
Marco Rubio related ↔ JD Vance
Marco Rubio envoy ↔ Donald Trump Marco Rubio acts as the primary diplomatic envoy and Secretary of State for Donald Trump's administration. Rubio execute
Marco Rubio related ↔ United States — Republican Party (United States)
Marco Rubio related ↔ United States — Democratic Party (United States)
JD Vance vice president ↔ Donald Trump JD Vance serves as Vice President under Donald Trump, acting as his primary envoy and political surrogate. Vance execute
JD Vance related ↔ Kamala Harris
JD Vance related ↔ United States — Republican Party (United States)
JD Vance related ↔ United States — Democratic Party (United States)
Donald Trump related ↔ Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump related ↔ Kamala Harris
Donald Trump related ↔ Jon Ossoff
Donald Trump related ↔ Gavin Newsom
Donald Trump related ↔ Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Donald Trump party leader ↔ United States — Republican Party (United States) Donald Trump is the current 47th President of the United States and holds unparalleled dominance over the Republican Par
Donald Trump political opponent ↔ United States — Democratic Party (United States) Donald Trump is the leading political opponent of the Democratic Party, consistently challenging their policies, legisla
+ 12 more relationships View on Dashboard
ERGEN INTELLIGENCE
Track this event live

Set up alerts, explore entity relationships, search across thousands of events, and build custom intelligence feeds.

Open Dashboard

About Ergen

Ergen is a news intelligence platform that converts raw news articles into structured data. It tracks events, entities, and the relationships between them, with sentiment and attention metrics derived from thousands of articles. Pages on this site are daily static snapshots from the platform's live database. For real-time tracking, search, and alerts, the full dashboard is at app.ergen.ai.