Iran & CME Group
41 shared events · Importance 9 · Last updated Aug 21, 2026
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Business
Iran: War with US/Israel adds volatility and inflation fears.
CME Group: Likely to post marginal decline in revenue and profit. Stock down year-to-date amid regulatory worries.
Apr 20, 2026 · 27 articles
International
Iran: War and Hormuz closure have disrupted global refining and fuel supplies, causing record margins and high prices.
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool is used to gauge rate hike probabilities, with traders pricing in a significant chance of a hike.
Mar 08, 2026 · 27 articles
Business
Iran: The Iran conflict is cited as a factor expected to reduce net farm income and increase corn break-even prices in 2026 for farmers in the United States.
CME Group: CME Group co-sponsors the Ag Economy Barometer, which measures farmer sentiment, and its markets are directly affected by agricultural economic conditions and commodity prices.
Jun 02, 2026 · 7 articles
Business
Iran: Iran faces 'the toughest sanctions in history' from the United States, which could impact oil prices and geopolitical risk.
CME Group: CME FedWatch Tool data is used to gauge rate hike probabilities, reflecting market expectations.
Aug 21, 2026 · 7 articles
Domestic
Iran: Iranian forces traded attacks with the U.S. in the Gulf, disrupting Strait of Hormuz traffic and pushing oil prices higher.
CME Group: CME's FedWatch tool showed reduced odds of a July rate hike but still high probability for the year.
Jul 14, 2026 · 29 articles
Domestic
Iran: Renewed US-Iran hostilities drive oil prices higher, adding to inflation and complicating Fed policy.
CME Group: CME's FedWatch tool is referenced for market expectations; neutral impact.
Jul 26, 2026 · 21 articles
International
Iran: Iran is the other primary belligerent, facing military strikes and economic sanctions. Its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted global oil supplies, but it suffers from economic decline and international isolation.
CME Group: CME provides futures data, but is not directly affected.
Apr 08, 2026 · 416 articles
Business
Iran: Iran's potential deal with Oman to control Hormuz shipping could ease oil supply fears, but uncertainty persists.
CME Group: CME's FedWatch tool showed a slight decrease in rate hike odds.
Aug 06, 2026 · 37 articles
International
Iran: Facing intensified U.S. military strikes and threats of 'major military punishment' from President Trump.
CME Group: FedWatch tool showed 26% probability of July rate hike.
Jul 17, 2026 · 38 articles
Business
Iran: Iran's ongoing war and its reaffirmation of support for Hezbollah are complicating peace efforts in the Middle East and contributing to fears of systemic inflation due to blocked oil shipments.
CME Group: CME FedWatch data indicates a better than 60% chance of the United States — Federal Reserve pushing rates higher by year-end.
Jun 04, 2026 · 38 articles
Business
Iran: The conflict with Iran has contributed to higher gas prices, which are pressuring consumer spending and inflation.
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed a 69.4% probability of the Fed holding rates steady in September, reflecting market expectations influenced by the weak data.
Aug 14, 2026 · 63 articles
Domestic
Iran: Iran is negotiating an end to its war with the United States, influencing global oil prices.
CME Group: CME Group data is used to forecast interest rate hikes by the United States — Federal Reserve, providing market insights.
Jun 24, 2026 · 7 articles
International
Iran: Iran's potential peace deal with the United States and its counter-statement regarding the agreement impacted crude oil prices and geopolitical stability.
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool provided data on the implied probability of a United States — Federal Reserve rate hike.
Apr 20, 2026 · 7 articles
Domestic
Iran: The Iran war has led to rising costs and high energy prices, impacting the economic conditions in the United States>>>.
CME Group: CME Group>>>'s FedWatch tool indicated that markets were pricing in a likely rate hike by December.
Jun 05, 2026 · 48 articles
International
Iran: Iran>>> is involved in escalating hostilities in the Middle East, which is contributing to rising oil prices and global inflation jitters.
CME Group: CME Group>>>'s FedWatch tool is used to track the likelihood of interest rate changes by the United States — Federal Reserve>>>.
Jun 03, 2026 · 8 articles
Business
Iran: War with the U.S. disrupted oil flows, but hopes for a deal eased tensions.
CME Group: FedWatch tool used to gauge rate hike odds.
Jul 14, 2026 · 280 articles
International
Iran: The US launched fresh strikes on Iran, adding to geopolitical tensions.
CME Group: CME FedWatch Tool showed increased rate hike probability.
Jul 24, 2026 · 6 articles
International
Iran: Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has caused a global energy crisis, driving up oil and gas prices and disrupting supply chains. The nation is also engaged in ongoing conflict with Israel and the United States, leading to economic sanctions and military actions.
CME Group: CME Group's Ag Economy Barometer showed farmer sentiment declined in May due to high input costs.
May 05, 2026 · 374 articles
International
Iran: Iran>>> is directly involved in military exchanges with the United States>>> and its allies, facing severe economic sanctions and threats to its oil industry, while maintaining its stance on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear program.
CME Group: The CME Group's FedWatch tool provided data on market expectations for the United States — Federal Reserve's next rate hike.
Apr 20, 2026 · 607 articles
International
Iran: Iran halted retaliatory strikes after the US pause, but continues to assert control over the Strait of Hormuz and turn back ships. It denies direct talks but engages via mediators, with internal skepticism about US intentions.
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool showed a 33-36% probability of a Fed rate hike. It provides market data.
Jul 08, 2026 · 472 articles
Domestic
Iran: The war with Iran has caused jumps in oil prices, contributing to global inflation, but hopes for negotiations are now easing oil prices.
CME Group: CME Group provides data indicating a reduced probability of a United States — Federal Reserve rate hike, reflecting market expectations.
Jul 02, 2026 · 27 articles
International
Iran: Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire with the United States and committed to reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which had a major impact on global oil prices and shipping. Iran also proposed a 10-point plan for negotiations.
CME Group: CME Group declined to comment on the large oil futures bets placed before the ceasefire announcement.
Apr 08, 2026 · 28 articles
International
Iran: Iran is a central figure in the escalating geopolitical conflict with the United States and Israel, impacting crude oil prices and global market stability.
CME Group: CME Group>>>'s FedWatch Tool indicates a 41.9 percent chance of a quarter-point interest rate hike, reflecting market expectations influenced by inflation concerns related to the Middle East war.
May 18, 2026 · 316 articles
Domestic
Iran: Iran's conflict with the United States and Israel, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has significantly contributed to surging global energy prices and supply chain disruptions, directly impacting inflation.
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool indicated financial markets were anticipating a rate hike from the U.S. central bank in September.
Jun 10, 2026 · 63 articles
Business
Iran: Fired missiles at ships; under U.S. strikes; Strait of Hormuz effectively shut.
CME Group: Data used for Fed rate expectations.
Apr 20, 2026 · 344 articles
Business
Iran: The war with Iran previously caused jumps in oil prices, contributing to global inflation concerns.
CME Group: CME Group provides data that traders use to assess the probability of United States — Federal Reserve interest rate changes.
Jul 02, 2026 · 6 articles
Business
Iran: The U.S.-Iran conflict increased market volatility, driving trading volumes and benefiting Cboe, but also creating geopolitical uncertainty.
CME Group: CME reported strong profit, but its stock is under pressure from the threat of perpetual futures competition.
Jul 31, 2026 · 6 articles
Domestic
Iran: The conflict involving Iran and the potential for a deal with the United States have significantly impacted energy prices and global geopolitical stability, which in turn affects inflation and market sentiment.
CME Group: CME Group data is used to gauge trader expectations regarding the United States — Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Apr 20, 2026 · 28 articles
Domestic
Iran: The Iran war has elevated oil and gas prices, contributing to inflation.
CME Group: Fedwatch tool showed roughly 50-50 odds of a September rate hike.
Aug 12, 2026 · 15 articles
Business
Iran: The U.S.-Iran conflict remains volatile, with no progress in talks, but has limited direct impact on the AI boom.
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows 62% chance of Fed holding rates in September.
Aug 05, 2026 · 65 articles
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