Iran & Kalshi
8 shared events · Importance 3 · Last updated Apr 21, 2026
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Business
Iran: War with US/Israel adds volatility and inflation fears.
Kalshi: Allowed to offer perpetual futures, posing a threat to incumbent exchanges.
Apr 20, 2026 · 27 articles
Regulatory
Iran: Iran is a key nation involved in geopolitical events that Donald Trump made announcements about, leading to significant movements in oil prices and subsequent suspicious trading activity.
Kalshi: Kalshi is another predictions market platform where Donald Trump acts as a strategic advisor, and which has outlined new rules to combat insider trading.
Apr 19, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
Iran: Iran is mentioned in relation to geopolitical events that saw suspicious trading activity on prediction markets, raising integrity concerns.
Kalshi: Kalshi is under investigation and also facing a lawsuit from New York's Attorney General; it argues its operations differ from gambling and is required to continue operating by the CFTC.
Aug 12, 2026 · 23 articles
Business
Iran: A U.S.-Iran ceasefire was subject to suspected insider trading on Polymarket.
Kalshi: Kalshi is the dominant U.S. prediction market competitor, valued at $22 billion, benefiting from the industry's growth and Polymarket's struggles.
Jul 08, 2026 · 17 articles
Business
Iran: The U.S.-Iran war headlines contributed to market volatility, benefiting trading volumes for exchanges.
Kalshi: Kalshi, along with Coinbase, received CFTC approval to offer perpetual futures for cryptocurrencies, potentially competing with traditional exchanges.
Jul 23, 2026 · 6 articles
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