United States & Kalshi
32 shared events · Importance 8 · Last updated Aug 14, 2026
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Regulatory
United States: The United States is the backdrop for the federal-state jurisdictional conflict. The outcome will determine the regulatory framework for event contracts nationwide.
Kalshi: Kalshi received a temporary reprieve from the CFTC's order, allowing it to continue operating during the NFL season. However, it faces significant legal and financial exposure from United States — New York's lawsuit and ongoing regulatory scrutiny.
Aug 11, 2026 · 7 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States>>> is establishing a regulatory framework for crypto perpetual futures, aiming to bring trading activity onshore and become a leader in digital asset innovation.
Kalshi: Kalshi>>> received approval from the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission>>> to list its BTCPERP contract, becoming the first entity to offer a regulated bitcoin perpetual futures contract in the United States.
May 29, 2026 · 18 articles
Business
United States: The hub focuses on U.S. midterm elections, but the event itself has minimal direct impact on the country.
Kalshi: Kalshi launched a new election tracking hub, potentially increasing its user base and market presence.
Jul 22, 2026 · 7 articles
Business
United States: US markets and economy central to earnings season and geopolitical tensions.
Kalshi: Allowed to offer perpetual futures, posing a threat to incumbent exchanges.
Apr 20, 2026 · 27 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the jurisdiction where the regulatory debate is taking place, with senators urging the CFTC to act on wildfire prediction markets.
Kalshi: Kalshi prohibits wildfire contracts, citing perverse incentives, and is positioned as a responsible operator, potentially benefiting from regulatory crackdowns on competitors.
Aug 03, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States>>> federal government, through the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission>>>, is asserting its jurisdiction over prediction markets against state-level bans.
Kalshi: Kalshi>>> is a prediction market platform directly targeted by United States — Minnesota>>>'s ban, which would criminalize its operations within the state. The company's business model is significantly impacted by the outcome of the federal lawsuit.
May 19, 2026 · 26 articles
Regulatory
United States: The US regulatory environment, including CFTC oversight and state-level legal battles, shapes the feasibility of Binance's plans.
Kalshi: Kalshi is a leading CFTC-regulated prediction market operator that would face increased competition if Binance enters the space.
Jul 29, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: A U.S. Army soldier was charged with using classified information for profit on Polymarket, highlighting the need for stricter regulations in prediction markets.
Kalshi: Kalshi is implementing new measures to collect employment information from customers in high-risk markets to combat insider trading, aiming to enhance its legitimacy and differentiate itself from competitors.
Jun 09, 2026 · 16 articles
Business
United States: The U.S. is the market Polymarket is reentering; the CFTC and DOJ are involved in regulation.
Kalshi: Kalshi is the dominant U.S. prediction market competitor, valued at $22 billion, benefiting from the industry's growth and Polymarket's struggles.
Jul 08, 2026 · 17 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the jurisdiction where the investigation occurs, but the event does not significantly affect the country's overall standing.
Kalshi: Kalshi flagged the suspicious trades and referred them to the CFTC, demonstrating its surveillance capabilities. However, the incident may lead to increased regulatory scrutiny of its prediction markets.
Jul 16, 2026 · 103 articles
Regulatory
United States: The U.S. is the jurisdiction where these platforms operate and face regulatory challenges, with federal and state authorities clashing over oversight.
Kalshi: Kalshi is under investigation and also facing a lawsuit from New York's Attorney General; it argues its operations differ from gambling and is required to continue operating by the CFTC.
Aug 12, 2026 · 23 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the nation where the alleged insider trading activities are occurring, involving its former President Donald Trump and affecting its financial markets and foreign policy.
Kalshi: Kalshi is another predictions market platform where Donald Trump acts as a strategic advisor, and which has outlined new rules to combat insider trading.
Apr 19, 2026 · 6 articles
Business
United States: The United States market is the primary target for Kraken's new regulated perpetual futures, as the launch aims to bring previously offshore trading activity onshore within a regulated framework.
Kalshi: Kalshi's bitcoin perpetual contracts were approved by the CFTC in May, setting a precedent that helped pave the way for Kraken's own launch of regulated perpetual futures.
May 29, 2026 · 28 articles
Regulatory
United States: U.S. regulatory actions and state-level legal challenges shape the operating environment for prediction markets, affecting their growth and compliance.
Kalshi: Kalshi faces legal actions in multiple states alongside Polymarket, reflecting broader regulatory pressure on prediction markets.
Aug 14, 2026 · 8 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the nation where these events are unfolding, involving its government agencies and former congressman. The event highlights regulatory challenges within its financial markets.
Kalshi: Kalshi, an online prediction marketplace, detected suspicious trades by George Santos, froze his account, and reported the activity to federal authorities, leading to an investigation. This event highlights the scrutiny prediction markets face regarding insider trading.
Jun 02, 2026 · 34 articles
Regulatory
United States: Regulatory body (CFTC) acted on behalf of the U.S. government; the event touches on federal oversight of financial markets.
Kalshi: Reported Santos to regulators and is pursuing its own enforcement action; the settlement may reinforce its compliance reputation.
Jul 31, 2026 · 8 articles
Business
United States: The US is the primary market for Underdog and the target of IG's expansion. Regulatory approvals in the US are required for the deal.
Kalshi: Kalshi is a competitor in US prediction markets, currently the largest by notional volume. The acquisition of Underdog by IG could intensify competition.
Jul 30, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the regulatory jurisdiction where Wintermute obtained broker-dealer status, reflecting its growing role in digital asset regulation.
Kalshi: Kalshi is a prediction market platform where Wintermute provides liquidity, part of its broader expansion.
Aug 07, 2026 · 7 articles
Business
United States: The conference is held in the United States, specifically United States — New York City, and features US-based legal and regulatory officials.
Kalshi: Kalshi has two representatives, Sudhir Jain and Rick Heaslip, speaking at the PREDICT 2026 conference, contributing expertise on compliance and regulatory affairs in prediction markets.
May 29, 2026 · 10 articles
Business
United States: The U.S.-Iran war headlines contributed to market volatility, benefiting trading volumes for exchanges.
Kalshi: Kalshi, along with Coinbase, received CFTC approval to offer perpetual futures for cryptocurrencies, potentially competing with traditional exchanges.
Jul 23, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States has seen legal scrutiny intensify for prediction markets, with federal and state authorities challenging their classification.
Kalshi: Kalshi is a rival prediction market platform that has also faced bans and restrictions in countries like Brazil, indicating a broader regulatory scrutiny of the prediction market industry.
May 22, 2026 · 14 articles
Business
United States: Workers in the United States were affected by Meta Platforms' layoffs and were subject to the Model Capability Initiative.
Kalshi: Kalshi is a potential partner for Meta Platforms' new prediction-market app, Arena.
Apr 20, 2026 · 132 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is a federally-regulated prediction market and a competitor to Polymarket. Its CEO, Tarek Mansour, supports stronger regulation against unregulated prediction markets, positioning Kalshi favorably amidst the scrutiny.
Jan 11, 2026 · 6 articles
Business
Kalshi: Kalshi is mentioned as a platform that has processed billions in trading volume in prediction markets, indicating the existing market size.
Apr 07, 2026 · 6 articles
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