United States & Polymarket
39 shared events · Importance 12 · Last updated Aug 20, 2026
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Regulatory
United States: The U.S. is the country whose military actions were subject to insider trading, raising national security concerns and prompting regulatory scrutiny.
Polymarket: Polymarket is the central platform where alleged insider trading occurred. The research and regulatory scrutiny could lead to stricter controls, reduced user trust, and potential legal or operational challenges.
Aug 20, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: U.S. regulatory actions and state-level legal challenges shape the operating environment for prediction markets, affecting their growth and compliance.
Polymarket: Polymarket lost a major banking partner due to regulatory concerns, but continues operations with a new lender and retains a relationship with JPMorgan. It faces legal challenges and is raising funds at a high valuation.
Aug 14, 2026 · 8 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the jurisdiction where the regulatory debate is taking place, with senators urging the CFTC to act on wildfire prediction markets.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a major prediction market platform that hosted wildfire bets, drawing scrutiny. It defends its markets as providing information but faces potential regulatory restrictions.
Aug 03, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the nation where the alleged insider trading activities are occurring, involving its former President Donald Trump and affecting its financial markets and foreign policy.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a blockchain-powered predictions market platform where suspicious trading activity, potentially insider trading, occurred before major geopolitical events. It has since outlined new rules to crack down on such activities.
Apr 19, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States>>> federal government, through the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission>>>, is asserting its jurisdiction over prediction markets against state-level bans.
Polymarket: Polymarket>>> is a prediction market platform that would be criminalized under United States — Minnesota>>>'s new law, facing significant operational challenges if the ban is upheld. Its popularity in the 2024 US presidential election cycle highlights the stakes of this regulatory dispute.
May 19, 2026 · 26 articles
Business
United States: The U.S. is the market Polymarket is reentering; the CFTC and DOJ are involved in regulation.
Polymarket: Polymarket is the central entity; its reentry into the U.S. market aims to rebuild trust and capture market share, but faces challenges from deceptive marketing allegations and competition from Kalshi.
Jul 08, 2026 · 17 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the nation where the charges against Michele Spagnuolo were brought and where the legal proceedings are taking place, demonstrating its commitment to prosecuting insider trading.
Polymarket: Polymarket is the prediction market platform where Michele Spagnuolo allegedly placed fraudulent bets. The company cooperated with law enforcement in the investigation, which led to the charges, but faces scrutiny regarding the integrity of its platform.
May 27, 2026 · 32 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States>>> is establishing a regulatory framework for crypto perpetual futures, aiming to bring trading activity onshore and become a leader in digital asset innovation.
Polymarket: Polymarket>>> is a rival prediction market platform that also intends to offer perpetual futures, creating a competitive landscape with Kalshi>>> following the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission>>>'s approval.
May 29, 2026 · 18 articles
Domestic
United States: The delay affects the United States' crypto regulatory framework, potentially impacting its competitiveness in the digital asset market.
Polymarket: Prediction market pricing Clarity Act passage odds at 44%, slightly below Galaxy's estimate.
May 20, 2026 · 87 articles
Regulatory
United States: The U.S. is the jurisdiction where these platforms operate and face regulatory challenges, with federal and state authorities clashing over oversight.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a primary target, facing allegations of deceptive marketing and potential insider trading; it is cooperating with the investigation while reorganizing its marketing team.
Aug 12, 2026 · 23 articles
Regulatory
United States: The US regulatory environment, including CFTC oversight and state-level legal battles, shapes the feasibility of Binance's plans.
Polymarket: Polymarket is another prediction market platform that may compete with Binance's planned offerings.
Jul 29, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: A U.S. Army soldier was charged with using classified information for profit on Polymarket, highlighting the need for stricter regulations in prediction markets.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a competitor to Kalshi and has been associated with incidents of insider trading, which Kalshi is trying to avoid by implementing new integrity measures. Its operations are outside U.S. jurisdiction.
Jun 09, 2026 · 16 articles
Tech
United States: US government actions, including executive orders and CHIPS Act funding, are central to the sector's growth prospects.
Polymarket: Polymarket traders price an 18.5% probability of a US government stake in IonQ, reflecting speculative sentiment.
Aug 06, 2026 · 8 articles
Business
United States: The United States is relevant as the location for natural gas storage reports and the United States — Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, which are key indicators for the new futures contracts.
Polymarket: Intercontinental Exchange recently launched the Polymarket Signals and Sentiment service, which offers data from Polymarket's prediction markets, complementing the new futures contracts.
Jun 29, 2026 · 7 articles
Domestic
United States: National political implications for House control and midterm elections.
Polymarket: Prediction market indicating high probability of Democratic flip, reflecting market sentiment.
Aug 01, 2026 · 101 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the nation where these events are unfolding, involving its government agencies and former congressman. The event highlights regulatory challenges within its financial markets.
Polymarket: Polymarket is mentioned as a rival prediction market to Kalshi, also facing scrutiny over insider trading. It has implemented new monitoring and enforcement measures in response to regulatory attention.
Jun 02, 2026 · 34 articles
Regulatory
United States: Regulatory body (CFTC) acted on behalf of the U.S. government; the event touches on federal oversight of financial markets.
Polymarket: Cut ties with Santos in June following the federal probe, distancing itself from the controversy.
Jul 31, 2026 · 8 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the regulatory jurisdiction where Wintermute obtained broker-dealer status, reflecting its growing role in digital asset regulation.
Polymarket: Polymarket is another prediction market where Wintermute offers liquidity, diversifying its market-making activities.
Aug 07, 2026 · 7 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States has seen legal scrutiny intensify for prediction markets, with federal and state authorities challenging their classification.
Polymarket: Polymarket is the central entity in this event, facing bans and restrictions in multiple countries due to its classification as an illegal online gambling service. This significantly impacts its global expansion plans and operational reach.
May 22, 2026 · 14 articles
Business
United States: The US is the primary market for Underdog and the target of IG's expansion. Regulatory approvals in the US are required for the deal.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a competitor in prediction markets, currently behind Underdog in notional volume. The acquisition could further challenge its market position.
Jul 30, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
United States: The United States is the jurisdiction where the investigation occurs, but the event does not significantly affect the country's overall standing.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a competitor to Kalshi mentioned in the context of prediction market growth, but it is not directly involved in this event.
Jul 16, 2026 · 103 articles
Business
United States: The U.S. is the regulatory and operational environment for SpaceX's AI and space activities, with potential policy implications.
Polymarket: Polymarket traders are betting on SpaceX's stock price, reflecting market sentiment on the AI pivot.
Aug 12, 2026 · 8 articles
Business
United States: The conference is held in the United States, specifically United States — New York City, and features US-based legal and regulatory officials.
Polymarket: Neal Kumar, Chief legal officer of Polymarket, is a speaker at the PREDICT 2026 conference.
May 29, 2026 · 10 articles
Business
United States: The United States is the host country for the data center, benefiting from AI infrastructure development and job creation, though concerns about energy costs and grid strain exist.
Polymarket: Polymarket is mentioned as a prediction market showing a 20% chance of OpenAI IPO this year, but is not directly involved in the event.
Aug 14, 2026 · 41 articles
Business
United States: The United States>>>'s detachment from the gold standard in 1971 is cited as a historical event that modernized Wall Street.
Polymarket: Polymarket>>> is mentioned as a platform reflecting the probability of the Clarity Act's passage.
May 18, 2026 · 21 articles
Business
United States: Workers in the United States were affected by Meta Platforms' layoffs and were subject to the Model Capability Initiative.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a potential partner for Meta Platforms' new prediction-market app, Arena.
Apr 20, 2026 · 132 articles
Regulatory
Polymarket: Polymarket is a major prediction market platform facing renewed scrutiny and potential regulatory challenges due to a suspicious trade related to Nicolas Maduro's capture, and its return to the U.S. market under new regulatory clearance is a key part of the event.
Jan 11, 2026 · 6 articles
International
Polymarket: Polymarket is the prediction market platform where the controversial bets on Nicolás Maduro's ouster were placed, attracting scrutiny over potential insider trading.
Jan 06, 2026 · 7 articles
Business
Polymarket: Polymarket is mentioned as a platform that has processed billions in trading volume in prediction markets, indicating the existing market size.
Apr 07, 2026 · 6 articles
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