Venezuela & United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Venezuela: Venezuela is the country whose president's removal was bet on, reflecting political instability and potential market implications.

United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission: The CFTC is pushing for jurisdiction over prediction markets and has brought charges in related cases. This research supports its regulatory efforts and could lead to stricter enforcement.

Venezuela: Venezuela was named as a focus area for the required AML review, reflecting its high-risk status.

United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission: The CFTC also brought parallel charges, which were resolved in the settlement.

Venezuela: Venezuela is referenced in an insider trading case involving prediction markets, illustrating potential abuses.

United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission: The CFTC asserts exclusive federal authority over prediction markets, countering state actions and ordering Kalshi to continue operations, shaping the regulatory landscape.

Venezuela: Venezuela's president was the subject of bets on Polymarket's international platform.

United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission: The CFTC regulates Polymarket U.S. and has sued states to preempt state regulations on prediction markets, supporting the industry.

United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulates prediction markets as 'event contracts' in the U.S., allowing them to bypass state gambling laws. The CFTC's recent clearance for Polymarket to operate in the U.S. and its perceived lack of enforcement are central to the regulatory debate.

United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission: The United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission approved Polymarket's relaunch in the United States and is now under scrutiny regarding its oversight of prediction markets and potential insider trading.