CME Group & Donald Trump
35 shared events · Importance 8 · Last updated Aug 21, 2026
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International
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool is used to gauge rate hike probabilities, with traders pricing in a significant chance of a hike.
Donald Trump: Faces political pressure from high fuel prices; said no talks with Iran and insisted Hormuz is open, but uncertainty persists.
Mar 08, 2026 · 27 articles
Business
CME Group: CME FedWatch Tool data is used to gauge rate hike probabilities, reflecting market expectations.
Donald Trump: President Trump called on Congress to pass a crucial crypto bill, which lifted bitcoin and crypto-linked companies.
Aug 21, 2026 · 7 articles
Domestic
CME Group: CME's FedWatch tool is referenced for market expectations; neutral impact.
Donald Trump: President's tariffs and Iran policy contribute to inflation; he pressures Fed for lower rates but may face political risk from a hike.
Jul 26, 2026 · 21 articles
International
CME Group: CME provides futures data, but is not directly affected.
Donald Trump: As US President, Trump is central to the conflict, making military and diplomatic decisions. His actions have drawn criticism and affected market sentiment.
Apr 08, 2026 · 416 articles
Domestic
CME Group: CME's FedWatch tool showed reduced odds of a July rate hike but still high probability for the year.
Donald Trump: Trump dropped a plan to charge a 20% protection fee on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, shifting toward trade deals.
Jul 14, 2026 · 29 articles
Business
CME Group: CME's FedWatch tool showed a slight decrease in rate hike odds.
Donald Trump: President Trump said a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was coming soon, but markets remain skeptical.
Aug 06, 2026 · 37 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool provided data on the implied probability of a United States — Federal Reserve rate hike.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump's cancellation of planned attacks on Iran and his statement about a potential peace deal influenced market sentiment and crude oil prices.
Apr 20, 2026 · 7 articles
International
CME Group: FedWatch tool showed 26% probability of July rate hike.
Donald Trump: Promised 'major military punishment' for Iran and Houthis, escalating tensions.
Jul 17, 2026 · 38 articles
International
CME Group: CME FedWatch Tool showed increased rate hike probability.
Donald Trump: Trump threatened the Houthis with major military punishment, escalating rhetoric.
Jul 24, 2026 · 6 articles
Business
CME Group: CME FedWatch data indicates a better than 60% chance of the United States — Federal Reserve pushing rates higher by year-end.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump's administration has negotiated truces in the Middle East, and he has pressured the Fed to lower borrowing costs, influencing both geopolitical and economic discussions.
Jun 04, 2026 · 38 articles
Domestic
CME Group: CME Group>>>'s FedWatch tool indicated that markets were pricing in a likely rate hike by December.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump>>>'s administration's tax cuts in 2025 provided a lift to the economy, but his approval rating on the economy is falling due to rising costs and gasoline prices.
Jun 05, 2026 · 48 articles
International
CME Group: The CME Group's FedWatch tool provided data on market expectations for the United States — Federal Reserve's next rate hike.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump>>> has repeatedly threatened Iran with severe military action and economic control, including seizing oil infrastructure, while also pushing for a peace deal, creating significant market uncertainty.
Apr 20, 2026 · 607 articles
Business
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed a 69.4% probability of the Fed holding rates steady in September, reflecting market expectations influenced by the weak data.
Donald Trump: Consumer sentiment among Republicans fell sharply, potentially signaling political trouble for Trump's party in midterms.
Aug 14, 2026 · 63 articles
Business
CME Group: FedWatch tool used to gauge rate hike odds.
Donald Trump: Held off on strikes against Iran, easing oil prices. Pushed for lower rates.
Jul 14, 2026 · 280 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group declined to comment on the large oil futures bets placed before the ceasefire announcement.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump, as the U.S. President, announced the two-week ceasefire with Iran, which was a pivotal moment for global markets and oil prices.
Apr 08, 2026 · 28 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group's Ag Economy Barometer showed farmer sentiment declined in May due to high input costs.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump, as President of the United States, initiated the strikes against Iran, is involved in ongoing peace negotiations, and has made statements regarding the conflict's economic impact and potential resolution.
May 05, 2026 · 374 articles
Regulatory
CME Group: CME Group, along with Purdue University, reported a drop in grower sentiment, indicating the difficult conditions faced by farmers.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump signed a proclamation amending Section 232 tariffs on certain imports, aiming to boost the industrial economy and provide relief to American farmers.
Jun 01, 2026 · 24 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool showed a 33-36% probability of a Fed rate hike. It provides market data.
Donald Trump: Trump paused strikes to allow diplomacy, claiming 'good talks' with Iran, but warns of resuming attacks if negotiations fail. His approval ratings are weighed down by the prolonged conflict ahead of midterm elections.
Jul 08, 2026 · 472 articles
Domestic
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool indicated financial markets were anticipating a rate hike from the U.S. central bank in September.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump's administration faces political challenges due to rising inflation, which is a key issue for midterm elections. His policies, including tariffs and the Iran war, are cited as contributors to the price increases.
Jun 10, 2026 · 63 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group>>>'s FedWatch Tool indicates a 41.9 percent chance of a quarter-point interest rate hike, reflecting market expectations influenced by inflation concerns related to the Middle East war.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump's administration is involved in the ongoing conflict with Iran, his policies on tariffs and immigration are impacting the economy, and his political clout is being tested in primary elections.
May 18, 2026 · 316 articles
Business
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows 62% chance of Fed holding rates in September.
Donald Trump: President Trump claims credit for the manufacturing boom, though tariffs have also been blamed for holding back some expansions.
Aug 05, 2026 · 65 articles
Business
CME Group: Data used for Fed rate expectations.
Donald Trump: Threatened major strikes on Iran; appointed Kevin Warsh as Fed chair.
Apr 20, 2026 · 344 articles
Domestic
CME Group: Fedwatch tool showed roughly 50-50 odds of a September rate hike.
Donald Trump: His tariffs are cited as a factor pushing inflation higher.
Aug 12, 2026 · 15 articles
Domestic
CME Group: CME Group data is used to gauge trader expectations regarding the United States — Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump's past withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal and his pressure on the United States — Federal Reserve to cut rates are mentioned as background context influencing market dynamics and geopolitical events.
Apr 20, 2026 · 28 articles
Regulatory
CME Group: CME Group sued the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Michael S. Selig over the approval of U.S. crypto perpetual futures, arguing the contracts were misclassified, which adds to the regulatory pressure on the CFTC.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump publicly supported the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission's exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, influencing the political debate surrounding their regulation.
Jun 26, 2026 · 7 articles
Domestic
CME Group: The CME Group's FedWatch Tool was referenced to show the increased odds of a September interest rate cut.
Aug 22, 2025 · 6 articles
Business
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool is used by traders to assess the probability of interest rate changes by the United States — Federal Reserve.
Jun 16, 2026 · 7 articles
International
CME Group: The CME Group's FedWatch Tool is referenced for money market participants' expectations regarding United States — Federal Reserve easing.
Mar 30, 2026 · 84 articles
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