CME Group & United States — Republican Party (United States)
9 shared events · Importance 3 · Last updated Aug 21, 2026
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International
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool is used to gauge rate hike probabilities, with traders pricing in a significant chance of a hike.
United States — Republican Party (United States): Faces political challenge from high fuel prices ahead of midterm elections.
Mar 08, 2026 · 27 articles
Domestic
CME Group: CME's FedWatch tool showed reduced odds of a July rate hike but still high probability for the year.
United States — Republican Party (United States): Faces political risk from persistent inflation ahead of midterm elections.
Jul 14, 2026 · 29 articles
International
CME Group: CME provides futures data, but is not directly affected.
United States — Republican Party (United States): Faces political risk from high fuel prices ahead of midterms.
Apr 08, 2026 · 416 articles
Domestic
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool indicated financial markets were anticipating a rate hike from the U.S. central bank in September.
United States — Republican Party (United States): The United States — Republican Party (United States) faces political liability due to the soaring cost of living and high inflation, which could impact their control of Congress in the upcoming midterm elections.
Jun 10, 2026 · 63 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group's Ag Economy Barometer showed farmer sentiment declined in May due to high input costs.
United States — Republican Party (United States): United States — Republican Party (United States) fear economic pain caused by the Iran war could spark voter backlash and cost them control of the House and Senate in midterm elections.
May 05, 2026 · 374 articles
Domestic
CME Group: Fedwatch tool showed roughly 50-50 odds of a September rate hike.
United States — Republican Party (United States): The Republican Party faces potential electoral consequences from high inflation, as consumer dissatisfaction could weigh on its chances in the November midterm elections.
Aug 12, 2026 · 15 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group>>>'s FedWatch Tool indicates a 41.9 percent chance of a quarter-point interest rate hike, reflecting market expectations influenced by inflation concerns related to the Middle East war.
United States — Republican Party (United States): United States — Republican Party (United States)>>> senators are expressing concerns and seeking more information about a $1.8 billion settlement fund proposed by President Donald Trump>>>.
May 18, 2026 · 316 articles
International
CME Group: The CME Group's FedWatch tool provided data on market expectations for the United States — Federal Reserve's next rate hike.
United States — Republican Party (United States): Spiking energy prices due to the conflict pose political problems for the United States — Republican Party (United States)>>> ahead of midterm elections.
Apr 20, 2026 · 607 articles
International
CME Group: CME Group's FedWatch tool showed a 33-36% probability of a Fed rate hike. It provides market data.
United States — Republican Party (United States): The prolonged conflict and high gas prices could hurt Republicans in midterm elections.
Jul 08, 2026 · 472 articles
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