Kalshi & Donald Trump
21 shared events · Importance 4 · Last updated Aug 01, 2026
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Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi flagged the suspicious trades and referred them to the CFTC, demonstrating its surveillance capabilities. However, the incident may lead to increased regulatory scrutiny of its prediction markets.
Donald Trump: President Trump was informed of the allegations and approved Perez's suspension, calling the situation 'a disgrace.' The event does not directly implicate Trump but adds to scrutiny of his administration's ethics.
Jul 16, 2026 · 103 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi>>> is a prediction market platform directly targeted by United States — Minnesota>>>'s ban, which would criminalize its operations within the state. The company's business model is significantly impacted by the outcome of the federal lawsuit.
Donald Trump: The Donald Trump>>> administration's United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission>>> has taken a stance that prediction markets fall under federal jurisdiction, leading to the lawsuit against United States — Minnesota>>>.
May 19, 2026 · 26 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is another predictions market platform where Donald Trump acts as a strategic advisor, and which has outlined new rules to combat insider trading.
Donald Trump: As the former US President, Donald Trump's announcements on geopolitical events and economic policies are consistently preceded by unusual trading activity, suggesting potential insider trading related to his statements.
Apr 19, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi, an online prediction marketplace, detected suspicious trades by George Santos, froze his account, and reported the activity to federal authorities, leading to an investigation. This event highlights the scrutiny prediction markets face regarding insider trading.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump is mentioned as the President whose State of the Union address George Santos allegedly bet on. Trump had previously commuted Santos's sentence in a separate fraud case.
Jun 02, 2026 · 34 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Reported Santos to regulators and is pursuing its own enforcement action; the settlement may reinforce its compliance reputation.
Donald Trump: His State of the Union address was the subject of Santos' trades; previously granted Santos clemency, but not directly involved in this settlement.
Jul 31, 2026 · 8 articles
Business
Kalshi: Kalshi is the dominant U.S. prediction market competitor, valued at $22 billion, benefiting from the industry's growth and Polymarket's struggles.
Donald Trump: President Trump's administration has been supportive of prediction markets; he announced a U.S.-Iran ceasefire that was subject to insider trading on Polymarket.
Jul 08, 2026 · 17 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is the primary defendant, ordered to curtail most operations in Washington and face potential daily fines. This adds to its legal troubles in multiple states, though it continues to argue for federal preemption.
Donald Trump: The Trump administration's CFTC has been friendly to prediction markets, influencing the federal-state conflict.
Aug 13, 2026 · 8 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi>>> received approval from the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission>>> to list its BTCPERP contract, becoming the first entity to offer a regulated bitcoin perpetual futures contract in the United States.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump>>> criticized previous U.S. crypto policies for pushing perpetual trading offshore, arguing it weakened domestic innovation.
May 29, 2026 · 18 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi, a CFTC-registered exchange, was a plaintiff in the lawsuit and obtained the injunction allowing it to continue operating in United States — Minnesota. The ruling protects its business model and user base of over 90,000 United States — Minnesota users.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump advises Kalshi and Polymarket and backs Polymarket financially. His involvement ties the companies to political figures but is not directly impacted by the ruling.
Jul 27, 2026 · 20 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is under investigation and also facing a lawsuit from New York's Attorney General; it argues its operations differ from gambling and is required to continue operating by the CFTC.
Donald Trump: Trump is mentioned in insider trading allegations involving a United States — White House staffer and in the context of geopolitical events affecting prediction markets.
Aug 12, 2026 · 23 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is implementing new measures to collect employment information from customers in high-risk markets to combat insider trading, aiming to enhance its legitimacy and differentiate itself from competitors.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump is mentioned in the context of George Santos's alleged illegal betting related to his State of the Union address.
Jun 09, 2026 · 16 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is the primary defendant, facing potential shutdown in United States — New York, disgorgement of profits, and treble damages. The lawsuit threatens its business model and could set a precedent affecting its operations nationwide.
Donald Trump: Trump's administration appointed the CFTC chair who declared the agency would defend its exclusive jurisdiction, indirectly influencing the dispute.
Jul 31, 2026 · 24 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is another prediction market operator facing regulatory scrutiny and legal challenges, similar to Polymarket, regarding jurisdiction and potential insider trading.
Donald Trump: Donald Trump publicly supported the United States — United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission's exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, influencing the political debate surrounding their regulation.
Jun 26, 2026 · 7 articles
Business
Kalshi: Kalshi, a prediction market startup, reached an $11 billion valuation after a $1 billion funding round, solidifying its position as a federally regulated platform for trading on future events.
Dec 03, 2025 · 8 articles
Regulatory
Kalshi: Kalshi is a federally-regulated prediction market and a competitor to Polymarket. Its CEO, Tarek Mansour, supports stronger regulation against unregulated prediction markets, positioning Kalshi favorably amidst the scrutiny.
Jan 11, 2026 · 6 articles
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