United States — White House & Polymarket

United States — White House: The United States — White House did not respond to the BBC's request for comment on the unusual trading activities and sent an internal email warning staff against using insider information on predictions markets.

Polymarket: Polymarket is a blockchain-powered predictions market platform where suspicious trading activity, potentially insider trading, occurred before major geopolitical events. It has since outlined new rules to crack down on such activities.

United States — White House: The United States — White House has been pushing for the bill but has not responded to ethics compromise offers, complicating negotiations.

Polymarket: Prediction market pricing Clarity Act passage odds at 44%, slightly below Galaxy's estimate.

United States — White House: The United States — White House warned staff about insider trading in prediction markets, highlighting concerns about market integrity.

Polymarket: Polymarket is a primary target, facing allegations of deceptive marketing and potential insider trading; it is cooperating with the investigation while reorganizing its marketing team.

United States — White House: The United States — White House executive orders designating quantum computing as a national priority provide a strong policy tailwind for the sector.

Polymarket: Polymarket traders price an 18.5% probability of a US government stake in IonQ, reflecting speculative sentiment.

United States — White House: The United States — White House placed Perez on unpaid leave and reiterated strict ethics guidelines. The incident raises questions about internal oversight of staff trading activities.

Polymarket: Polymarket is a competitor to Kalshi mentioned in the context of prediction market growth, but it is not directly involved in this event.

United States — White House: The United States — White House declined to comment on the allegations, but the scandal involves a former aide and could reflect on the administration's handling of abuse allegations.

Polymarket: Prediction market indicating high probability of Democratic flip, reflecting market sentiment.