Nicolás Maduro & Polymarket
13 shared events · Importance 3 · Last updated May 09, 2026
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Regulatory
Nicolás Maduro: Nicolas Maduro's capture was the subject of a prediction market wager on Polymarket, which subsequently raised suspicions of insider trading and brought prediction markets under renewed scrutiny.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a major prediction market platform facing renewed scrutiny and potential regulatory challenges due to a suspicious trade related to Nicolas Maduro's capture, and its return to the U.S. market under new regulatory clearance is a key part of the event.
Jan 11, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
Nicolás Maduro: Maduro's removal was the subject of insider betting, highlighting the use of classified information. The event underscores political instability in Venezuela.
Polymarket: Polymarket is the central platform where alleged insider trading occurred. The research and regulatory scrutiny could lead to stricter controls, reduced user trust, and potential legal or operational challenges.
Aug 20, 2026 · 6 articles
Regulatory
Nicolás Maduro: Nicolás Maduro, President of Venezuela, was ousted from office, an event that was correctly bet on by a Polymarket user, leading to significant profits and raising insider trading suspicions.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a blockchain-powered predictions market platform where suspicious trading activity, potentially insider trading, occurred before major geopolitical events. It has since outlined new rules to crack down on such activities.
Apr 19, 2026 · 6 articles
Business
Nicolás Maduro: A U.S. Army sergeant was indicted for betting on Maduro's capture on Polymarket's international platform.
Polymarket: Polymarket is the central entity; its reentry into the U.S. market aims to rebuild trust and capture market share, but faces challenges from deceptive marketing allegations and competition from Kalshi.
Jul 08, 2026 · 17 articles
Regulatory
Nicolás Maduro: Maduro is mentioned in the context of insider trading incidents, where a soldier used classified information to bet on his removal.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a primary target, facing allegations of deceptive marketing and potential insider trading; it is cooperating with the investigation while reorganizing its marketing team.
Aug 12, 2026 · 23 articles
Regulatory
Nicolás Maduro: Nicolás Maduro is the Venezuelan leader whose capture was the subject of fraudulent bets by Gannon Van Dyke on Polymarket, mentioned as a comparative case.
Polymarket: Polymarket is the prediction market platform where Michele Spagnuolo allegedly placed fraudulent bets. The company cooperated with law enforcement in the investigation, which led to the charges, but faces scrutiny regarding the integrity of its platform.
May 27, 2026 · 32 articles
Regulatory
Nicolás Maduro: Maduro is mentioned as the subject of a separate insider trading case involving a soldier, but he is not involved in this event.
Polymarket: Polymarket is a competitor to Kalshi mentioned in the context of prediction market growth, but it is not directly involved in this event.
Jul 16, 2026 · 103 articles
International
Polymarket: Polymarket is the prediction market platform where the controversial bets on Nicolás Maduro's ouster were placed, attracting scrutiny over potential insider trading.
Jan 06, 2026 · 7 articles
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